Simon Usherwood’s scenario-planning for this week’s meeting of the European Council.
It is clear that any blockage will have substantial knock-on effects, and if negotiators want to leave themselves any leeway for the final discussions, then they have to avoid problems now.
March is due to be a key staging-post to the October final agreement.
There is scope for things to go wonky and still be recovered, but then you have burnt any future leeway at the back-end in October.
March is not as mission-critical as October, but it does not mean there is no cost to problems.
Read the entire report now:
Coming up next: Scenarios for the 18-19 October 2018 European Council.🔷
(This piece was first published on The blog of the Department of Politics at the University of Surrey.)