Scenarios for the 22-23 March 2018 European Council.

Simon Usherwood’s scenario-planning for this week’s meeting of the European Council.

It is clear that any blockage will have substantial knock-on effects, and if negotiators want to leave themselves any leeway for the final discussions, then they have to avoid problems now.

March is due to be a key staging-post to the October final agreement.

There is scope for things to go wonky and still be recovered, but then you have burnt any future leeway at the back-end in October.

March is not as mission-critical as October, but it does not mean there is no cost to problems.

Read the entire report now:

Coming up next: Scenarios for the 18-19 October 2018 European Council.🔷

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(This piece was first published on The blog of the Department of Politics at the University of Surrey.)

(Cover: Flickr/European People's Party - EPP Summit, 22 March 2018.)

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Associate Dean, Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Surrey and Deputy Director of the ESRC's 'UK in a Changing Europe' programme.
Guildford, UK. Website

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