the3million’s response to Home Secretary Sajid Javid bragging that the EU Settlement Scheme is “performing well” without explaining how that performance is actually being measured.

Dear Sajid Javid, it is great to see that the early uptake on the EU Settlement Scheme is good.

We have a serious and concerning question though: How do you measure “performing well”?

Yesterday, the Home Office published the latest EU Settlement Scheme Statistics for May 2019. Loads of numbers, but very little insight.

EU Settlement Scheme statistics, May 2019. /

Yes, up to the end of May the Home Office received 788,200 applications. You say that it means the Settlement Scheme for EU citizens performs well.

But what do you benchmark this against?

What is your total target?

What is your monthly target?

EU Settlement Scheme statistics, May 2019. /

The report also reveals that 668,000 applications have been processed.

Again, no benchmark.

No measure of performance.

EU Settlement Scheme statistics, May 2019. /

Particularly worrisome is that the Home Office seems to have a backlog of 120,200 applications. Admittingly, down from 176,000 at the end of April, but still almost 3/4 of the number of applications received in the whole of May.

EU Settlement Scheme statistics, May 2019. /

After the beta phase, your department boasted (and repeated by Caroline Nokes again yesterday) that 75% of applications were processed without manual case worker intervention.

Does this still hold true? If yes, what is causing the backlog?

Why don’t you publish that percentage number?

EU settled status: how employers can help their European staff. / Personel Today

Equally worrying is the low percentage of EU citizens receiving Settled Status. According to your numbers only 64% get Settled Status, down from 66% in April.

What is your target?

EU Settlement Scheme statistics, May 2019. /

The Migration Observatory estimates about 69% of EU citizens have residence of more than 5 years in the UK and thus, should qualify for Settled Status rather than Pre-Settled Status.

What is driving the shortfall?

Duration of residence in the UK by country of birth and nationality, 2017. / The Migration Observatory

Is the shortfall of the Settled Status percentage driven by application patterns or, as the Home Affairs Committee suspects, by a system that too readily dishes out the fallback status of Pre-Settled Status?

Issues with the EU Settlement Scheme. / Home Affairs Committee -

Also, as meaningless as overall number of 788,000 applications is the table of applications by nationality.

Are 32,300 applications from French nationals a better performance than 5,000 Austrian nationals?

What is the benchmark?

And how many have been successfully processed? And what status?

EU Settlement Scheme statistics, May 2019. /

The data the Home Office is providing on the Settlement Scheme is meaningless without showing what “performing well”, or success, look like.

Headline grabbing large numbers but without substance.

Without defining what success looks like how can you be so confident that the Home Affairs Committee is wrong and that the Settlement Scheme will not leave thousands of EU citizens without, or the wrong, immigration status in 2021?

As the only solution to avoid another Windrush you MUST write the legal status of EU citizens into primary law NOW. No need to apply for status, but just a simple registration system. Otherwise, EU citizens’ lives will be shattered in 2021 and you won’t even know how many.🔷


Did you know the3million is the leading non-profit organisation of EU citizens in the UK? We are grateful of your support, as we simply could not have campaigned for citizens’ rights over the last 24 months without you. If you can afford it, please become a paying supporter today to allow the campaign to continue for the next 24 months and beyond if necessary.

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[This piece was first published as a Twitter thread and turned into the above article, with the author’s consent, with the purpose of reaching a larger audience. It has been minorly edited and corrected. | The author of the tweets writes in a personal capacity.]

(Cover: the3million.)