Exit poll points to a comfortable Conservative win in the 2019 General Election.
First published in December 2019.
At 10:00pm, the first exit poll points to a comfortable Conservative win tonight and what could be the worst result for Labour since 1935.
◦ Conservatives: 368 (+51)
◦ Labour: 191 (-71)
◦ SNP: 55 (+20)
◦ LibDems: 13 (+1)
◦ Plaid Cymru: 3 (-1)
◦ Green: 1 (=)
◦ Brexit Party: 0
◦ Others: 22 (18 in Northern Ireland)
In previous general elections, the exit polls were pretty accurate:
Exit poll versus actual results in last three elections (below) - four seats out in 2017, nearly bang in 2010 *but* under-estimated Tory numbers by 15 in 2015....#UKElection pic.twitter.com/e48Yyjrzsi
— Dan Sabbagh (@dansabbagh) December 12, 2019
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[This is an original piece, first published by the author in PoliticsMeansPolitics.com on 12 December 2019. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]
