Today the Home Office has published the latest EU Settlement Scheme numbers. There are some interesting and quite concerning insights.


First published in August 2020.


Since the launch of the EU Settlement Scheme 98% of application concluded resulted in either Settled or Pre-Settled Status. It means that 2% of applications were refused, void or invalid.

EU Settlement Scheme statistics. / Gov.uk – Home Office

In July though only 86% of applications concluded resulted in Settled or Pre-Settled Status. Almost 14% of applications did not.

EU Settlement Scheme statistics. / Gov.uk – Home Office

Since February 2020 the proportion of applications concluded without Settled or Pre-Settled Status has been rising steadily with the month of July being the highest so far (14% vs 10% in June).

EU Settlement Scheme statistics. / Gov.uk – Home Office

There has been a clear shift within the Home Office, coincidentally after Brexit Day, with more applications leading to neither Settled nor Pre-Settled Status.

While until the end of January 2020 only 1% of applications concluded with neither Settled nor Pre-Settled Status, this was the case for 7% of applications concluded between February and July 2020, and has been rising continuously over recent months.

EU Settlement Scheme statistics. / Gov.uk – Home Office

74% of the 76,000 applications which concluded without grant of (Pre-) Settled Status were processed since the end of January with the rate of Withdrawn/Void rising by 364%, Invalid rising by 1,934%, and all refusals occurring in the last 6 months compared to the 15 months up to 31 January 2020.

EU Settlement Scheme statistics. / Gov.uk – Home Office

With numbers developing like this for the last 6 months it is rather concerning that the Home Office has decided to reduce the publications of statistics to headline numbers with no commentary rather than being more transparent by providing more explanations and insights.🔷


Since the Home Office does not count individuals but number of applications we do not know how many EU/EEA citizens actually have Settled or Pre-Settled Status. There are several reasons why the number of applications will be higher than the number of individuals. Two main reasons for a number of applications higher than individuals granted status are:

  • Re-application after a previous application was rejected/withdrawn;
  • EU/EEA citizens with Pre-Settled Status applying for Settled Status once they reach 5-year residence requirement.

You can find the latest release of the EU Settlement Scheme statistics here: https://gov.uk/government/collections/eu-settlement-scheme-statistics





[This piece was first published as a Twitter thread and turned into the above article on 13 August 2020 with the purpose of reaching a larger audience. It has been minorly edited and corrected, and published with the author’s consent. | The author of the tweets writes in a personal capacity.]

(Cover: Shutterstock/Cmspic.)

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