The UK reported 231 more Covid-19 deaths today, but with 6,225 deaths in the last 14 days, infections still rising in some places, and shoppers back on high streets, the situation remains delicately balanced, Dr Joe Pajak writes.


First published in December 2020.


231 more deaths have been reported today (6 December) each following a reported positive test result for Covid-19 within 28 days of their death. The reported figure was 397 yesterday. But itโ€™s the weekend, when the data often lags (why?), and reports of Christmas shoppers flooding some of Britainโ€™s high streets after lockdown donโ€™t bode well for the future.

The official UK government data indicate that 6,225 people have died in the past 14 days (each following a reported positive test result for Covid-19 within 28 days of their death); and with infections still rising in some places, and more shoppers back on high streets, the situation remains delicately balanced.

Government data also indicate that there have been 212,843 new cases reported in the past 14 days, while thatโ€™s a 32% reduction on the 14-day figures reported on 23 November, questions remain about the exactitude of the test, track, and trace data.

The next 10 days will be vital in determining where we are heading, and in the effectiveness of the latest restrictions.

Todayโ€™s trendline chart and headline UK Covid-19 data present a view of where we are, and where we have come from, but the question remains: Where are we actually heading next? To some extent this rests in our own hands, perhaps bringing a new more menacing meaning to โ€˜Caveat emptorโ€™, as in โ€˜Let the buyer (shopper) bewareโ€™.

UK Covid-19 headline data, reported on 6 December 2020:

  • 17,272 positive tests
  • 231 more deaths in the last 24 hours
  • 1,444 hospital admissions (reported as of 02/12)
  • 14,556 hospital in-patients (reported as of 03/12)
  • 1,274 patients on ventilation beds (reported as of 04/12)
  • 212,843 new cases reported in the last 14 days according to government data

Since the first reported UK case, at the end of January 2020, there have been 1,723,242 cases of coronavirus in the UK; and according to todayโ€™s government figures 61,245 people have died.

However, these data include only those who have died within 28 days of testing positive; other measures suggest the number of deaths is actually higher: 69,752 being reported today as โ€œthe total number of deaths of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday, 20 November 2020.โ€๐Ÿ”ท


Data source:



Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national childrenโ€™s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.





[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 6 December 2020. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]

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