The usual weekend ‘lag’ means that in the past four weeks, the total number of Covid deaths reported in the UK on Mondays was 2,127, whereas 5,314 deaths were reported on Tuesdays. This is surely a significant concern one way or another, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in February 2021.
Correction: An earlier version of this article incorrectly reported the cumulative death figures for Mondays and Tuesdays, and has been updated.

Today’s Data in Focus

Today’s data indicates the grim and sad fact that 406 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 16,704 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.  

While 31,089 people have lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days, important to keep a close check on this number – which has fallen today (by just 1) – the first fall in 28 days.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The roll-out of the vaccines against Covid-19 should continue to be celebrated, especially the fact that 494,209 people have now completed the full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19.

The overall situation, however, remains finely balanced, with 402,290 new cases reported in the last 14 days – the steady fall in these data continues, but it is so dependent on restrictions and people’s behaviours.

With this in mind, the discovery of more cases of the South African variant in Britain today is of most serious concern. We have to accept that this variant probably reached the UK because of our weak restrictions and people’s behaviours; and the fact that the UK pandemic began one year ago with just two reported infections of lesser transmissibility.  

As Imperial College London’s Professor Paul Elliott said, “If infections aren’t brought down significantly, hospitals won’t be able to cope with the number of people that need critical care.”

Latest health care data indicate that 34,783 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 28 January), and 3,832 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 29 January). No update on the two sets today, however, the extreme pressure continues for our healthcare services.  

The Full Data

The 14-day UK data chart is provided below.

14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Trend Lines 01-February-2021

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 1 February 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 18,607 (↘️ -2,481) positive tests in the last 24 hours
  • 406 (↘️ -181) deaths in the last 24 hours
  • 106,564 (↗️ +406) total deaths within 28 days of first positive test result for COVID-19 reported up to Monday 01 February 2021
  • 2,981 (↘️ -58) hospital admissions (latest date reported 28 Jan)
  • 34,783 hospital in-patients (no update, latest date reported 28 Jan)
  • 3,832 patients on ventilation beds (no update, latest date reported 29 Jan)
  • 3,835,783 (↗️ +18,607) total positive cases (since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020)

People vaccinated: (up to and including 31 January 2021)

  • 💉 9,296,367 (↗️ +319,038) first dose vaccines
  • 💉 494,209 (↗️ +3,156) second dose vaccines (fully vaccinated)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 29 January 2021)

  • 0.7 to 1.1 with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to 0%

Last 28 days:

  • 1,122,225 new cases 🦠
  • 31,089 further deaths

Days since:

  • 368 days since the first reported UK case 🦠
  • 332 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 103,602 – Registered up to Friday 15 January 2021.  

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 1 February 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]