Covid-19 has claimed another 828 lives in the UK in 24 hours and has infected 912,431 people in 28 days, which with the worrying reports of more variant infections doesn’t bode well for any relaxing of restrictions soon, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in February 2021.

The positive news today is that 510,057 people (0.97% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 11,456,210 people (21.77% of UK adults) in total have now had one vaccination.  

Today’s Data in Focus

Today’s data indicates the grim and sad fact that 828 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 14,763 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.  

In addition, 31,431 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This important data measure has fallen for the third day running, hopefully a sign that the number of deaths are now trending downwards.

The overall situation remains finely balanced – with 18,262 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 312,377 new cases reported in the last 14 days.

The emergence of new variants is of real concern; as noted by scientists on the SAGE committee who reported via the SAGE 77 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response, on 21 January 2021:

“The emergence of new variants of concern around the world presents a rationale for attempting to reduce importation of even small numbers of infectious cases. This rationale will strengthen if new variants emerge that are capable of immune escape. Measures would be likely to delay importation of these variants rather than prevent them altogether. These measures will make most difference when domestic prevalence of the variant is low and there is little domestic transmission.”

Further decrease in infections in general will clearly depend upon a number of factors. These include, the effectiveness of the test, track and trace programme, the rigour, and speed of implementation of government restrictions, people’s attitudes, and behaviours in response to the rules, the transmissibility and impact of Covid-19 variants, and the rollout and efficacy of the vaccines.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

Latest health care data indicate that 29,326 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 4 February), and 3,505 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 5 February).  

These data continue to be at worryingly high levels, and are having a severe impact on the health and wellbeing of our healthcare staff. This aspect must never be overlooked, and it is clearer than ever that our NHS and care services will be now changed forever as the result of this pandemic.

The Full Data

The 14-day UK data chart is provided below.

14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Trend Lines 06-February-2021

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 6 February 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 18,262 positive tests (↘️ -852) in the last 24 hours
  • 828 deaths (↘️ -186) in the last 24 hours
  • 3,929,835 total positive cases (↗️ +18,262) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 112,092 total deaths (↗️ +828) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 5 February 2021)
  • 2,460 hospital admissions (↘️ -118) – last reported 2 February
  • 29,326 hospital in-patients (↘️ -1,182)last reported 4 February
  • 3,505 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -67) – last reported 5 February

People vaccinated: (up to and including 5 February 2021)

  • 💉11,465,210 first dose vaccines (↗️ +494,163), i.e. 21.77% of the adult population
  • 💉510,057 second dose vaccines – fully vaccinated (↗️ +4,064), i.e. 0.97% of the adult population

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 5 February 2021)

  • 0.7 to 1.0 with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to 0%

Last 28 days:

  • 912,431 new cases 🦠
  • 31,224 new deaths

Days since:

  • 373 days since the first reported UK case
  • 337 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 112,660 – Registered up to Friday 22 January 2021.  

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 6 February 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]