Trends continue downwards today – not that this will provide comfort for the families of the 758 people who lost their lives in 24 hours (697,785 people infected with the virus in 28 days) – while the risk of an upsurge due to the spread of Covid-19 variants remains, Dr Joe Pajak writes.
First published in February 2021.
As of today, 530,094 people (1.01% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 14,012,224 people (26.6% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.
Today’s Data in Focus
In addition, 28,992 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This important data measure has fallen for the ninth day running, an indicator that the number of deaths are trending downwards. However, the risk of an upsurge in infections is very real, with evidence about the growing presence of new more transmissible Covid-19 variants.
Transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 15,144 new cases reported in the last 24 hours (still higher than at any time during the first wave – and the third consecutive day this number has risen) and 240,986 new cases reported in the last 14 days.
It is worth reflecting here on the average daily numbers of infections (24,921) and the average daily number of deaths (1,035) as reported in the last 28 days. While both numbers are falling the average over the past 28 days highlights the continuing severity of the situation.
As Public Health England’s, Dr Susan Hopkins, said on Sky News earlier, “I think we are going to have to have some measures in place until the whole population are vaccinated, at least all of the adult population”, adding that even then “I think we'll need to know more about transmission before we can release everything.”
Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.
Latest health care data indicate that 24,352 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 10 February), and 3,036 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 11 February) – still at high levels.
The Full Data
The 7-day UK data chart is provided below.
UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 12 February 2021:
(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)
- 15,144 positive tests (↗️ +1,650) in the last 24 hours
- 758 deaths (↗️+80) in the last 24 hours
- 4,013,799 total positive cases (↗️ +15,144) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
- 116,287 total deaths (↗️ +758) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 12 February 2021)
- 1,908 hospital admissions (↗️ +66) – last reported 8 February
- 24,352 hospital in-patients (↘️ -1,269) – last reported 10 February
- 3,036 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -96) – last reported 11 February
People vaccinated: (up to and including 11 February 2021)
- 💉14,012,224 first dose vaccines (↗️ +503,116), i.e. 26.6% of UK adults
- 💉530,094 second dose vaccines – fully vaccinated (↗️ +5,647), i.e. 1.01% of UK adults
Estimated ®️ number: (as of 12 February 2021)
- 0.7 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to -2%
New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:
- 697,785 new cases 🦠
- 28,992 new deaths
- 379 days since the first reported UK case
- 343 days since the first reported UK death
These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.
[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 12 February 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]