First published in February 2021.

As of today, 534,869 people (1.02% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 14,556,827 people (27.64% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.  

Today’s Data in Focus

Today’s data indicates the grim and sad fact that 621 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 11,337 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.  

In addition, 28,318 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This important data measure has fallen for the tenth day running, a clear indicator that the number of deaths are trending downwards. However, the risk of an upsurge in infections remains real; with more data, and evidence, also being produced about the impact of new more transmissible Covid-19 variants.

The latest paper by NERVTAG, an update note on B.1.1.7 (also known as the ‘UK variant’) severity, dated 11 February 2021, worryingly concludes that “analyses indicate that it is likely that VOC B.1.1.7 is associated with an increased risk of hospitalisation and death compared to infection with non-VOC viruses.”

Transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 13,308 new cases reported in the last 24 hours (still higher than at any time during the first wave) and 231,019 new cases reported in the last 14 days.

It is worth reflecting here on the average daily numbers of infections (23,920) and the average daily number of deaths (1,011) as reported in the last 28 days. While both these sets of data are falling the average over the past 28 days highlights the continuing severity of the situation.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

Latest health care data indicate that 23,341 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 11 February), and 2,943 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 12 February) – still at high levels.  

The Full Data

The 7-day UK data chart is provided below.

7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Trend Lines 13-February-2021

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 13 February 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 13,308 positive tests (↘️ -1,836) in the last 24 hours
  • 621 deaths (↘️ -137) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,027,106 total positive cases (↗️ +13,308) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 116,908 total deaths (↗️ +621) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 13 February 2021)
  • 1,741 hospital admissions (↘️ -167) – last reported 9 February
  • 23,341 hospital in-patients (↘️ -1,011)last reported 11 February
  • 2,943 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -93) last reported 12 February

People vaccinated: (up to and including 12 February 2021)

  • 💉14,556,827 first dose vaccines (↗️ +544,603), i.e. 26.64% of UK adults
  • 💉534,869 second dose vaccines – fully vaccinated (↗️ +4,775), i.e. 1.02% of UK adults

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 12 February 2021)

  • 0.7 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to -2%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 669,747 new cases 🦠
  • 28,318 new deaths

Days since:

  • 380 days since the first reported UK case
  • 344 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 121,674 – Registered up to Friday 29 January 2021.  

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.