First published in February 2021.

As of today, 537,715 people (1.02% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 15,062,189 people (28.6% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.  

Today’s Data in Focus

Today’s data indicates the grim and sad fact that 258 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 11,008 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.  

The number of deaths reported in the past 24 hours is the lowest number since Boxing Day. However, experience tells us that Sunday data is often lower.

In addition, 27,905 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This important data measure has fallen for the eleventh day running, a clear indicator that the number of deaths are trending downwards. However, the risk of an upsurge in infections remains very real; with more data, and evidence, about the potential impact of new more transmissible Covid-19 variants.

Indeed, a concern given the new travel restrictions coming into force on 15 February 2021. The Institute for Government has produced a report which amongst other issues asks some key questions about the potential impact of the new arrangements,

“This paper outlines those gaps and challenges, posing a series of questions the government must answer if it wants its quarantine system to be a success. It draws on past Institute for Government research on outsourcing, the government’s handling of testing and contact tracing, and pandemic co-ordination across the UK and devolved administrations – as well as the use of hotel quarantine schemes overseas (particularly in Australia).”

Back to today’s data. Transmission of the virus remains at a relatively high level with 10,972 new cases reported in the last 24 hours (but has now dropped to its lowest reported level since 2 October 2020) and 220,903 new cases reported in the last 14 days.

It is worth reflecting here on the average daily numbers of infections (22,933) and the average daily number of deaths (997) as reported in the last 28 days.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

Latest health care data indicate that 23,341 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 11 February), and 2,943 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 12 February) – still at high levels.  

The Full Data

The 7-day UK data chart is provided below.

7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Trend Lines 14-February-2021

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 14 February 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 10,972 positive tests (↘️ -2,336) in the last 24 hours
  • 258 deaths (↘️ -363) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,038,078 total positive cases (↗️ +10,972) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 117,166 total deaths (↗️ +258) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 14 February 2021)
  • 1,715 hospital admissions (↘️ -26) – last reported 10 February
  • 23,341 hospital in-patients last reported 11 February
  • 2,943 patients on ventilation beds – last reported 12 February
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People vaccinated: (up to and including 13 February 2021)

  • 💉15,062,189 first dose vaccines (↗️ +505,362), i.e. 28.60% of UK adults
  • 💉537,715 second dose vaccines – fully vaccinated (↗️ +2,846), i.e. 1.02% of UK adults

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 12 February 2021)

  • 0.7 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to -2%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 642,121 new cases 🦠
  • 27,905 new deaths

Days since:

  • 381 days since the first reported UK case
  • 345 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 121,674 – Registered up to Friday 29 January 2021.  

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 14 February 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]