Another 799 deaths in the last 24 hours – a sad reminder of how fragile the situation is; while 26,725 people have now sadly lost their lives because of the coronavirus in just 28 days – an average of 954 deaths every day, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in February 2021.

As of today, 546,165 people (1.04% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 15,576,107 people (29.57% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.  

Very positive news which wouldn’t have happened without the energy and dedication an ‘army’ of NHS staff and volunteers.

Today’s Data in Focus

Today’s data indicates the grim and sad fact that 799 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 10,182 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.  

In addition, 26,725 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This important data measure has fallen for the thirteenth day running, the number of deaths are clearly trending downwards. However, the risk of an upsurge in infections remains very real; with more data, and evidence, about the potential impact of new more transmissible Covid-19 variants.

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As Dr Mike Ryan, Executive Director of the WHO Health Emergencies Programme said of the situation, at a virtual press conference on 15 February,

We need to get control on the virus. The virus still very much has control over us. We need to get to low, sustainable levels of transmission. We need to get to no deaths and minimal hospital admissions.

“We need to take the heat out of this pandemic. We need to take the death out of this pandemic. We need to take the suffering out of this pandemic and I believe we can do that if we're really smart about continuing our own personal measures, continuing to reduce our own chances of being infected, if governments support people in being able to do that and if we can roll out vaccines in an equitable fashion so our most vulnerable and our most at risk are vaccinated as the highest priority.”

Back to today’s data.

Transmission of the virus clearly remains at a high level with 10,625 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 205,846 new cases reported in the last 14 days.

It is worth reflecting here on the average daily numbers of infections (21,129) and the average daily number of deaths (954) as reported in the last 28 days.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

Latest health care data indicate that 21,001 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 14 February), and 2,805 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 15 February) – still at very high levels.  

The Full Data

The 7-day UK data chart is provided below.

7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Trend Lines 16-February-2021

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 16 February 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 10,625 positive tests (↗️ +860) in the last 24 hours
  • 799 deaths (↗️ +569) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,058,468 total positive cases (↗️ +10,625) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 118,195 total deaths (↗️ +799) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 16 February 2021)
  • 1,487 hospital admissions (↘️ -154) – last reported 12 February
  • 21,001 hospital in-patients (↘️ -2,340) last reported 14 February
  • 2,805 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -138) – last reported 15 February

People vaccinated: (up to and including 15 February 2021)

  • 💉15,576,107 first dose vaccines (↗️ +275,956), i.e. 29.57% of UK adults
  • 💉546,165 second dose vaccines – fully vaccinated (↗️ +6,535), i.e. 1.04% of UK adults

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 12 February 2021)

  • 0.7 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to -2%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 591,621 new cases 🦠
  • 26,725 new deaths

Days since:

  • 383 days since the first reported UK case
  • 347 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 129,498 – Registered up to Friday 5 February 2021.  

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 16 February 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]