Another 178 lives sadly lost to Covid-19 in the last 24 hours, and 22,227 people have now lost their lives because of the coronavirus in just 28 days – an average of 794 deaths on each of those days, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in February 2021.

As of today, 624,325 people (1.19% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 17,723,840 people (33.65% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.  

Wonderful achievement! We all owe so much to the energy and dedication of our wonderful NHS staff and an army of volunteers, and of course, to the scientists and others involved in development, testing and manufacture of the vaccines.

Today’s Data in Focus

Today’s data indicates the grim and sad fact that 178 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. While this is the lowest number since 13 December 2020, this means that 7,960 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.  

In addition, 22,227 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This important data measure has fallen for the nineteenth day running, the number of deaths still trending downwards.

The PM has today presented his government’s roadmap out of the lockdown. The strategy highlights the importance of vaccine rollout, vaccine effectiveness, keeping the level of infections down, and the risks of new variants.

There are some concerns about how the PM’s lockdown roadmap will work in practice, and the impact of fully opening all schools at the same time. As Professor Stephen David Reicher, Professor of Social Psychology at the University of St Andrews, wrote in a short piece in The Guardian in response to the PM’s roadmap (alongside Professor Devi Sridhar, Professor Graham Medley and Jennifer Dowd), “How cautious is it to open schools in one go? how irreversible to counterpose vaccinate to infection suppression?”

“Without clear measures to keep infections down once restrictions are lifted, how can we be sure that the road map out of lockdown will be ‘irreversible’?”

Is the impact of schools fully returning a bridge too far? The risk of an upsurge in infections remains a very real concern, alongside the potential impact of new more transmissible and harmful Covid-19 variants, on the level of infections, the spread of the disease, and the pressure on our NHS.

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Transmission of the virus clearly remains at a high level with 10,641 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 166,638 new cases reported in the last 14 days. Has a plateau been reached?

It is worth reflecting here on the average daily numbers of infections (16,303) and the average daily number of deaths (794) as reported in the last 28 days.

Latest health care data indicate that 18,462 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 18 February), and 2,469 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 19 February) – still at very high levels.  

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 22 February 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 10,641 positive tests (↗️  +807) in the last 24 hours – usual weekend lag
  • 178 deaths (↘️ -37) in the last 24 hours – usual weekend lag
  • 4,126,150 total positive cases (↗️ +10,641) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 120,757 total deaths (↗️ +178) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 22 February 2021)
  • 1,304 hospital admissions (↘️ -93) – last reported 18 February
  • 18,462 hospital in-patients last reported 18 February
  • 2,469 patients on ventilation beds – last reported 19 February
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Trend Lines 22-February-2021

People vaccinated: (up to and including 21 February 2021)

  • 17,723,840 first dose 💉 vaccines (↗️ +141,719), i.e. 33.65% of UK adults
  • 624,325 second dose 💉 vaccines – fully vaccinated (↗️ +9,177), i.e. 1.19% of UK adults
People in the UK vaccinated: (up to and including 21 February 2021)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 19 February 2021)

  • 0.6 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -6% to -3%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 456,495 new cases 🦠
  • 22,227 new deaths

Days since:

  • 389 days since the first reported UK case
  • 353 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 129,498 – Registered up to Friday 5 February 2021.  

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 22 February 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]