315 deaths reported due to Covid-19 in the past 24 hours, and very sadly a total of 14,277 people have now lost their lives because of the coronavirus in the past 28 days – on average that is 510 deaths each day, Dr Joe Pajak writes.
First published in March 2021.
As of today, 895,412 people (1.7% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 20,703,615 people (39.31% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.
A wonderful achievement, credit must go to all our NHS staff, many thousands of volunteers, and of course, to all those involved in the development, testing and manufacture of the vaccines.
Today’s data indicate the grim and sad fact that 315 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 4,679 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.
In addition, 14,277 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This significant data measure has fallen every day for the last 28 days. Transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 6,385 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 123,600 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days. Have we reached a plateau?
The risk of an upsurge, due to the presence of more transmissible and harmful Covid-19 variants, such as the recently identified 6 cases of the Brazil variant in the UK, continue to be of serious concern. More especially so, since one person who tested positive remains untraced.
The current situation in Brazil looks dramatic and getting out of control:
The scenario in Brazil:— Monica de Bolle, PhD 💉🐊 (@bollemdb) March 3, 2021
1. A variant (P.1) at least 2x more transmissible than previous variants (much more transmissible than the UK VOC).
2. 17 state capitals have ICUs that are > 80% full.
3. Exponential growth unlike any other that we have seen.
Brazil is a global threat
Back in Britain this raises very important questions that need answering:
- What evidence actually exists about our vaccines’ effectiveness and efficacy against the Brazil variant, the South Africa variant, and the UK variant?
- When is the government going to publish daily data indicating the number of positive cases reported for each of these (and future) variants of concern?
- Has the government now securely bolted the UK’s front door shut, to keep out all variants causing serious concern abroad?
- Will the government be reviewing the roadmap if the situation deteriorates?
It is also worth reflecting here on the average daily numbers of infections (11,534) and the average daily number of deaths (510) as reported in the last 28 days.
Latest health care data indicate that 12,849 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 01 March), and 1,709 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 2 March) – still a significant additional pressure on our NHS.
Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.
The Full Data
UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 3 March 2021:
(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)
- 6,385 positive tests (↘️ -6) in the last 24 hours
- 315 deaths (↘️ -28) in the last 24 hours
- 4,194,785 total positive cases (↗️ +6,391) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
- 123,783 total deaths (↗️ +315) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 03 March 2021)
- 725 hospital admissions (↘️ -385) – last reported 27 February
- 12,849 hospital in-patients (↗️ +101) – last reported 1 March
- 1,709 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -97) – last reported 2 March
Note: 3 March: The government dashboard reports that 172 deaths within 28 days of a positive test added to Scotland and UK totals.
People vaccinated: (up to and including 2 March 2021)
- 20,703,615 first doses 💉 (↗️ +224,996), i.e. 39.31% of UK adults
- 895,412 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +51,314), i.e. 1.70% of UK adults
Estimated ®️ number: (as of 26 February 2021)
- 0.6 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -6% to -3%
New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:
- 322,962 new cases 🦠
- 14,277 new deaths
- 398 days since the first reported UK case
- 362 days since the first reported UK death
These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Variants: distribution of cases data | Public Health England
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.
[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 3 March 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]