‘Caution’ is the watchword as schools return fully in England, with 65 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24h (usual weekend lag), and very sadly a total of 11,597 people have now lost their lives in the past 28 days – on average that is 414 deaths each of those days, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in March 2021.

As of today, 1,142,643 people (2.17% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 22,377,255 people (42.48% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.

Such an incalculable debt of thanks is owed to all our NHS staff, for all they have done throughout the pandemic, and to the many thousands of volunteers helping with the vaccinations programme, and of course, to all those involved in the development, testing and manufacture of the vaccines.

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Today’s data indicate the grim and sad fact that 65 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 3,637 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.

In addition, 11,597 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This significant data measure has fallen every day for the last 33 days. Transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 4,712 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 97,084 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days.

Key data continue to decrease, however, the picture across the UK is more complex, and the risk of an upsurge, due to the presence of more transmissible and harmful Covid-19 variants, remains a serious concern.

As reported below, Dr Jenny Harries, the deputy chief medical officer warned this afternoon, “If caution is not followed in the coming weeks, then the UK could see a fresh wave of infections.”

Dr Harries said the data showing cases have now fallen below 100 per 100,000 population, is a “pleasing picture, but one which I think has some caution attached to it.”

She told a Downing Street press briefing, “But it’s not uniformly across the country, so it’s really important that we continue to practice social distancing, hands, face and space as the PM has said and continue to observe all of our handwashing as well.”

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It is important also to note the following average numbers in relation to the last 28 days data:  daily numbers of infections (9,409) and the average daily number of deaths (414).

Latest health care data indicate that 10,898 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 4 March), and 1,542 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 5 March) – still an additional pressure on our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 8 March 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 4,712 positive tests (↘️ -465) in the last 24 hours
  • 688 hospital admissions (↘️ -19) – last reported 4 March
  • 10,898 hospital in-patients last reported 4 March
  • 1,542 patients on ventilation beds  – last reported 5 March
  • 65 deaths (↘️ -17) in the last 24 hours - lowest number since 12 October 2020
  • 4,223,232 total positive cases (↗️ +4,712) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 124,566 total deaths (↗️ +65) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 8 March 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 08-March-2021

People vaccinated: (up to and including 7 March 2021)

  • 22,377,255 first doses 💉 (↗️ +164,143), i.e. 42.48% of UK adults
  • 1,142,643 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +20,241), i.e. 2.17% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 07 March 2021)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 5 March 2021)

  • 0.7 to 0.9, with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to -3%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 263,452 new cases 🦠
  • 11,597 new deaths

Days since:

  • 403 days since the first reported UK case
  • 367 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 140,062 – Registered up to Friday 19 February 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 8 March 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]