‘Caution’ remains the watchword, with 231 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24h. A total of 10,776 people have now lost their lives in 28 days – on average that is 385 deaths each of those days, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in March 2021.

As of today, 1,181,431 people (2.24% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 22,592,528 people (42.89% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.

We owe so much more than a derisory 1% pay rise to all our NHS staff, for all they have done throughout the pandemic; and to the many thousands of volunteers helping with the vaccinations programme, and of course, to all those involved in the development, testing and manufacture of the vaccines.

Today’s data indicate the grim and sad fact that 231 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK. This means that 3,320 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.

In addition, 10,776 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This significant data measure has fallen every day for the last 34 days. Transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 5,766 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 94,361 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days.

Key data continue to decrease, however the situation across the UK is more complex. The risk of an upsurge, due to the presence of more transmissible and harmful Covid-19 variants, remains a genuine and serious concern. And as we embark upon the government’s roadmap out of lockdown a further surge in infections is certainly a possibility. Indeed, as England’s Chief Medical Officer, Chris Whitty, indicated in the House of CommonsScience and Technology Committee this morning:

“Modelling data conducted by SAGE shows that even with a “relatively small proportion of people remaining vulnerable” as they have not had their vaccine, could equate to a “large number of people” being affected. Some will end up in hospital, some will die, that’s just the reality of where we are.”

England’s CMO, Chris Whitty, in the House of Commons’ Science and Technology Committee, this morning | UK Parliament

It is important at this point to note the following average numbers in relation to the last 28 days data:  daily numbers of infections (9,173) and the average daily number of deaths (385).

Latest health care data indicate that 9,418 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 7 March), and 1,356 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 8 March) – still an additional pressure on our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 9 March 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 5,766 positive tests (↗️ +1,054) in the last 24 hours
  • 590 hospital admissions (↘️ -98) – last reported 5 March
  • 9,418 hospital in-patients (↘️ -1,480) last reported 7 March
  • 1,356 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -186)– last reported 8 March
  • 231 deaths (↗️ +166) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,228,998 total positive cases (↗️ +5,766) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 124,797 total deaths (↗️ +231) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 9 March 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 09-March-2021

People vaccinated: (up to and including 8 March 2021)

  • 22,592,528 first doses 💉 (↗️ +215,273), i.e. 42.89% of UK adults
  • 1,181,431 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +38,788), i.e. 2.24% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 08 March 2021)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 5 March 2021)

  • 0.7 to 0.9, with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to -3%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 256,854 new cases 🦠
  • 10,776 new deaths

Days since:

  • 404 days since the first reported UK case
  • 368 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 143,259 – Registered up to Friday 26 February 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 9 March 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]