The risks remain high, with 190 lives reported lost due to Covid-19 in the last 24 hours, 5,926 new infections reported in the last 24 hours, and 90,349 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in March 2021.

As of today, 1,254,353 people (2.38% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 22,809,829 people (43.30% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.

An amazing achievement by our NHS staff – not forgetting the contribution made by so many thousands of volunteers helping with the vaccinations programme, and of course, all those involved in the development, testing and manufacture of the vaccines.

Sadly, an insulting 1% pay rise for all our NHS staff does nothing for their morale - and is a poor reward for all they have done throughout the pandemic.

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Today’s data indicate the sad fact that 190 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK due to Covid-19. This means that 3,068 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.

In addition, 9,965 people have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This significant data measure has fallen every day for the last 35 days. However, transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 5,926 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 90,349 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days.

The risk of an upsurge, due to the presence of more transmissible and harmful Covid-19 variants, remains a genuine and serious concern. And as we embark upon the government’s roadmap out of lockdown a further surge in infections is a real possibility, as England’s Chief Medical Officer, Chris Whitty, indicated in the House of CommonsScience and Technology Committee yesterday morning.

The risks associated with specific variants has been discussed in a paper published today in the British Medical Journal:

The probability that the risk of mortality is increased by infection with VOC-202012/01 is high. If this finding is generalisable to other populations, infection with VOC-202012/1 has the potential to cause substantial additional mortality compared with previously circulating variants. Healthcare capacity planning and national and international control policies are all impacted by this finding, with increased mortality lending weight to the argument that further coordinated and stringent measures are justified to reduce deaths from SARS-CoV-2.”

It is worth noting the average numbers in relation to the last 28 days Covid-19 data: average daily numbers of infections (8,920) and the average daily number of deaths (356).

Latest health care data indicate that 9,435 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 8 March), and 1,293 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 9 March) – an additional pressure on our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 10 March 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 5,926 positive tests (↗️ +160) in the last 24 hours
  • 634 hospital admissions (↗️ +44) – last reported 6 March
  • 9,435 hospital in-patients (↗️ +17) last reported 8 March
  • 1,293 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -63) – last reported 9 March
  • 190 deaths (↘️ -41) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,234,924 total positive cases (↗️ +5,926) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 124,987 total deaths (↗️ +190) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 10 March 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 10-March-2021

People vaccinated: (up to and including 9 March 2021)

  • 22,809,829 first doses 💉 (↗️ +217,301), i.e. 43.30% of UK adults
  • 1,254,353 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +72,922), i.e. 2.38% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 09 March 2021)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 5 March 2021)

  • 0.7 to 0.9, with a daily infection growth rate range of -5% to -3%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 249,767 new cases 🦠
  • 9,965 new deaths

Days since:

  • 405 days since the first reported UK case
  • 369 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 143,259 – Registered up to Friday 26 February 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 10 March 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]