175 lives reported lost due to Covid-19 and 6,609 new infections reported in the last 24 hours – i.e. 40,983 new cases reported in 7 days. Have we finally reached a plateau? Dr Joe Pajak asks.

First published in March 2021.

As of today, 1,445,078 people (2.74% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 23,314,525 people (44.26% of UK adults) in total have had one vaccination.

An amazing achievement by our NHS staff – not forgetting the contribution made by so many thousands of volunteers helping with the vaccinations programme, and of course, all those involved in the development, testing and manufacture of the vaccines.

Today’s data indicate the sad fact that 175 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK due to Covid-19. This means that 2,756 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.

In addition, 8,885 have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. This significant data measure has fallen every day for the last 37 days. However, transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 6,609 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 85,203 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days.

Worryingly, though the changes are slight, the 7-day rolling average number of cases reported has risen for the second day in a row; and 40,983 new cases have been reported in the past 7 days, this rise is also for the second day in a row.

UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines since 6 November 2020

The risk of an upsurge, due to the presence of more transmissible and harmful Covid-19 variants, remains a genuine and serious concern.

So, as the government’s roadmap out of lockdown builds momentum, we need to be wary of the potential risk of a further surge in infections, not one least caused by new variants of concern.

It is worth noting the average numbers in relation to the last 28 days Covid-19 data: average daily numbers of infections (8,375) and the average daily number of deaths (317).

Latest health care data indicate that 8,404 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 10 March), and 1,194 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 11 March) – an additional pressure on our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 12 March 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 6,609 positive tests (↘️ -144) in the last 24 hours
  • 575 hospital admissions (↗️ +43) – last reported 8 March
  • 8,404 hospital in-patients (↘️ -573) last reported 10 March
  • 1,194 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -43) – last reported 11 March
  • 175 deaths (↘️ -6) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,248,286 total positive cases (↗️ +6,609) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 125,343 total deaths (↗️ +175) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 12 March 2021)

Note: yesterday’s total deaths figure was misquoted and should have been 125,168 (sincere apologies for this typo).

14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 12-March-2021

People vaccinated: (up to and including 11 March 2021)

  • 23,314,525 first doses 💉 (↗️ +260,809), i.e. 44.26% of UK adults
  • 1,445,078 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +93,563), i.e. 2.74% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 11 March 2021)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 5 March 2021)

  • 0.6 to 0.8 with a daily infection growth rate range of -7% to -4% (as of 12 March 2021)

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 234,491 new cases 🦠
  • 8,885 new deaths

Days since:

  • 407 days since the first reported UK case
  • 371 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 143,259 – Registered up to Friday 26 February 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 12 March 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]