Another 121 deaths due to Covid-19 and 5,534 new infections in the last 24 hours. With 40,477 new cases reported in the UK in the last 7 days, this coronavirus crisis is far from over, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in March 2021.

As of today, 1,532,754 people (2.91% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 23,684,103 people (44.96% of UK adults) in total have received one jab.

Today’s data indicate the sad fact that 121 people have died in the last 24 hours in the UK due to Covid-19. This means that 2,587 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days. Noting that: England deaths within 28 days of positive test affected by delay today. This may have a small impact on numbers tomorrow.

In addition, 8,385 have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. Transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 5,534 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 83,303 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days.

The risk of an upsurge, due to the presence of more transmissible and harmful Covid-19 variants, remains a genuine and serious concern.

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So, as the government’s roadmap out of lockdown builds momentum, we need to be wary of the potential risk of a further surge in infections, not one least caused by new variants of concern. A concern for us all must be the impact of re-opening all schools fully, particularly in England where they were all opened (nominally) on the 8 March 2021.

We have to hope that the news reported in the Dorset Echo, about a school in Weymouth where more than 200 students must self-isolate because positive cases have been identified, does not lead to a major upsurge in infections, and other important health and wellbeing concerns.

UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines for the previous 28 days

It is worth noting the average numbers in relation to the last 28 days Covid-19 data: average daily numbers of infections (8,097) and the average daily number of deaths (299).

Latest health care data indicate that 8,029 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 11 March), and 1,110 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 12 March) – an additional pressure on our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 13 March 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 5,534 positive tests (↘️ -1,075) in the last 24 hours
  • 570 hospital admissions (↘️ -5) last reported 9 March
  • 8,029 hospital in-patients (↘️ -375) last reported 11 March
  • 1,110 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -84) – last reported 12 March
  • 121 deaths (↘️ -54) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,253,820 total positive cases (↗️ +5,534) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 125,464 total deaths (↗️ +121) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 13 March 2021).

(Note from official data: On 13 March 2021 there was a delay in receiving this information from one of these sources. This might have a small impact on the total number of deaths reported on that date. This delay will be reflected on the numbers published on 14 March 2021.)

14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 13-March-2021

People vaccinated: (up to and including 13 March 2021)

  • 23,684,103 first doses 💉 (↗️ +369,578), i.e. 44.96% of UK adults
  • 1,532,754 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +87,676), i.e. 2.91% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 12 March 2021)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 12 March 2021)

  • 0.6 to 0.8 with a daily infection growth rate range of -7% to -4%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 226,717 new cases 🦠
  • 8,385 new deaths

Days since:

  • 408 days since the first reported UK case
  • 372 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 143,259 – Registered up to Friday 26 February 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 13 March 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]