101 further deaths due to Covid-19 in the UK, and another 4,802 infections, reported in the last 24 hours. A total of 37,398 new cases reported in the UK in the last 7 days, Dr Joe Pajak writes.


First published in March 2021.


As of today, 2,011,070 people (3.82% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 26,263,732 people (49.86% of UK adults) in total have received one dose.

The UK vaccination programme has been a wonderful success and much is owed to staff in the NHS, together with volunteers, and those involved in the development, testing, and manufacture of our vaccines.

The announcements yesterday, regarding the benefits outweighing the risks of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine, are very reassuring:

UK regulator confirms that people should continue to receive the COVID-19 vaccine AstraZeneca
Following suspensions by some countries of the COVID-19 Vaccine AstraZeneca over suspected blood clots, the MHRA confirms that the benefits of the vaccine in preventing COVID-19 far outweigh the risks. People should still go and get their COVID-19 vaccine when asked to do so.

However, it would appear to be a risk for us to depend only on our vaccination programme? As researchers from Warwick University report in their recently published study,

“For all vaccination scenarios we investigated, our predictions highlight the risks associated with early or rapid relaxation of NPIs. Although novel vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 offer a potential exit strategy for the pandemic, success is highly contingent on the precise vaccine properties and population uptake, both of which need to be carefully monitored.”

Vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
For all vaccination scenarios we investigated, our predictions highlight the risksassociated with early or rapid relaxation of NPIs. Although novel vaccines againstSARS-CoV-2 offer a potential exit strategy for the pandemic, success is highly contingenton the precise vaccine properties and popula…

Today’s data indicate the sad fact that 101 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours in the UK due to Covid-19. This means that 1,766 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.

In addition, 5,936 have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. Transmission of the virus remains at a high level with 4,802 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 78,381 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days.


It is worth noting here the average numbers in relation to the last 28 days Covid-19 data: average reported daily numbers of infections (6,801) and the average reported daily number of deaths (212).

UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines in the past month.

Latest health care data indicate that 6,544 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 17 March), and 879 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 18 March) – a continuing pressure for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 19 March 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 4,802 positive tests (↘️ -1,501) in the last 24 hours
  • 494 hospital admissions (↗️ +68) - last reported 15 March
  • 6,544 hospital in-patients (↘️ -674) - last reported 17 March
  • 879 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -89) - last reported 18 March
  • 101 deaths (↗️ +6) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,285,684 total positive cases (↗️ +4,802) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 126,026 total deaths (↗️ +101) within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 19 March 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 19 March 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 18 March 2021)

  • 26,263,732 first doses 💉 (↗️ +528,260), i.e. 49.86% of UK adults
  • 2,011,070 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +132,016), i.e. 3.82% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 18 March 2021).

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 19 March 2021)

  • 0.6 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -6% to -3%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 190,417 new cases 🦠
  • 5,936 new deaths

Days since:

  • 414 days since the first reported UK case
  • 378 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 146,487 – Registered up to Friday 5 March 2021.


These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  


Data source:






Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.






[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 19 March 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]