63 more deaths due to Covid-19 and another 6,397 infections in 24 hours in the UK. A total of 38,424 new cases in the past 7 days. Are we seeing a worrying uptick in infections, and if so why? Dr Joe Pajak asks.

First published in March 2021.

As of today, 2,775,481 people (5.27% of UK adults) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 28,991,188 people (55.04% of UK adults) in total have received one dose. An amazing achievement – so much is owed to staff in the NHS, together with thousands of volunteers, and those involved in the development, testing, and manufacture of our vaccines.

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Today’s data indicate the sad fact that 63 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours in the UK due to Covid-19. This means that 1,278 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days.

In addition, 4,204 have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. Transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 6,397 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 77,629 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days. 6,397 is the highest number of new daily infections reported since schools fully returned [in England] on 12 March.

It's worth noting too, the average number of new infections, and of deaths, reported in relation to the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average reported daily numbers of infections (5,884) and the average reported daily number of deaths (150).

Why are these data important? The number of people with a positive COVID-19 virus test (either lab-reported or lateral flow device) has averaged 5,884 a day for 28 days. Today the number reported was 6,397.

Could this be a warning sign that virus infections are increasing?

Latest health care data indicate that 5,122 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 23 March), and 683 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 24 March) – a continuing pressure for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 25 March 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 6,397 positive tests (↗️ +792) in the last 24 hours
  • 354 hospital admissions (↘️ -6) - last reported 21 March
  • 5,122 hospital in-patients (↘️ -285) - last reported 23 March
  • 683 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -28) - last reported 24 March
  • 63 deaths (↘️ -35) in the last 24 hours
  • 4,319,128 total positive cases – since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 126,445 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 25 March 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 25 March 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 24 March 2021)

  • 28,991,188 first doses 💉 (↗️ +337,665), i.e. 55.04% of UK adults
  • 2,775,481 second doses 💉 – fully vaccinated (↗️ +242,642), i.e. 5.27% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 24 March 2021).

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 19 March 2021)

  • 0.6 to 0.9 with a daily infection growth rate range of -6% to -3%

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 164,746 new cases 🦠
  • 4,204 new deaths

Days since:

  • 420 days since the first reported UK case
  • 384 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes: 148,125 – Registered up to Friday 12 March 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.