2,763 new infections and 45 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24 hours in the UK. A total of 21,505 new cases in the past 7 days. The bumpy road ahead unfolding, day by day, week by week, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in April 2021.

As of today, 10.79% of UK adults (5,683,509 people) have now completed their full, recommended, course of TWO vaccinations against Covid-19; and 60.20% of UK adults (31,707,594 people) in total have received only one dose. A magnificent achievement by our wonderful NHS staff, volunteers, scientists and vaccine manufacturers.

We must remember that the current vaccines the UK is using require two doses to complete the course, so there is no cause for complacency.

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The ongoing uncertainties about the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine were addressed in two separate press conferences today. One by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) and one by the UK’s Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) jointly with the UK’s Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI).

Emer Cooke, the EMA’s Executive Director, reported that, “the EMA’s expert committee on the safety of medicines (PRAC) has confirmed that the benefits of the AstraZeneca vaccine in preventing COVID-19 overall outweigh the risks of side effects.”

While the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) issued new advice concluding a possible link between COVID-19 Vaccine AstraZeneca and extremely rare, unlikely to occur blood clots.

“Vaccines are the best way to protect people from COVID-19 and have already saved thousands of lives. Everyone should continue to get their vaccination when asked to do so unless specifically advised otherwise.”

Britons aged 18-29 will be offered an alternative to the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine after 79 people developed blood clots within days of getting the jab,” Sky News reported today.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 45 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. This means that 546 people have now lost their lives in the last 14 days due to Covid-19.

In addition, 1,942 have now lost their lives because of the virus in the past 28 days. Transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 2,763 new cases reported in the last 24 hours and 55,412 new cases reported in the UK in the last 14 days.

It is worth noting here, the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (4,764) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (69).

Latest health care data indicate that 3,536 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 1 April), and 469 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 4 April) – a continuing pressure for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 7 April 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,763 positive tests (↗️ +384) in the last 24 hours
  • 256 hospital admissions (↗️ +8) – last reported on 30 March
  • 3,536 hospital in-patients – last reported on 1 April
  • 469 patients on ventilation beds (↘️ -48) – last reported 4 April
  • 45 deaths in the last 24 hours (↗️ +25)
  • 4,367,291 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 126,927 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 7 April 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 7 April 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 6 April 2021)

  • 31,707,594 first doses 💉 (↗️ +85,227), i.e. 60.20% of UK adults
  • 5,683,509 fully vaccinated 💉 (↗️ +186,793), i.e. 10.79% of UK adults
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 6 April 2021).

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 2 April 2021)

  • England: Between 0.8 and 1

Official note: It is reported that the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) estimates England’s latest R number to be between 0.8 and 1. While the latest growth rate range for England is -4% to 0% per day.

The UK estimates of R and growth rate are averages over different epidemiological situations and should be regarded as a guide to the general trend rather than a description of the epidemic state.

Given the increasingly localised approach to managing the epidemic, particularly between nations, UK-level estimates are less meaningful than previously and may not accurately reflect the current picture of the epidemic.

The R value and growth rates for the 4 nations and NHS England regions are more robust and useful metrics than those for the whole UK.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 133,397 new cases 🦠
  • 1,942 new deaths

Days since:

  • 433 days since the first reported UK case
  • 397 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 149,168 – Registered up to Friday 19 March 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.