33 deaths due to Covid-19 were reported in the last 24 hours in the UK, together with 2,524 new coronavirus infections, and a total of 17,334 new cases in the past 7 days. Data at a plateau or have we reached another point of inflection? Dr Joe Pajak asks.

First published in April 2021.

As of today, 10,425,790 people have completed the full course of TWO vaccinations (as required with the vaccines in use in the UK currently) against Covid-19; that is equivalent to 15.61% of the total UK population (or 19.79% of the adult population, 18 years and above). While, 33,032,120 people in total have received one dose of the vaccine: that is equivalent to 49.45% of the total population (or 62.71% of the adult population, 18 years and above).

Such a wonderful achievement by our NHS staff and an army of volunteers, scientists and vaccine producers.

Note: We must remember that the vaccines currently used in the UK require two doses to complete the course, so there is no cause for complacency.

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Vaccines continue to the best way for people to be protected from COVID-19 and have already saved thousands of lives, however there is also little doubt that the recent lockdown has contributed significantly to the downward data trends.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 33 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. While, transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 2,524 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.

It is also worth noting here, the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (3,389) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (37).

Latest health care data indicate that 1,973 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 18 April), and 318 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 19 April) – a continuing concern for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 20 April 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,524 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↘️ -439 on yesterday’s data)
  • 192 hospital admissions as of 14 April (↗️ +13 since last data report on 13 April)
  • 1,973 hospital in-patients as of 18 April (↘️ -213 since last data report on 15 April)
  • 318 patients on ventilation beds as of 19 April (↘️ -14 since last data report on 16 April)
  • 33 deaths in the last 24 hours (↗️ +29 on yesterday’s data)
  • 4,393,307 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,307 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 20 April 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 20 April 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 19 April 2021)

  • 33,032,120 first doses 💉 (↗️ +99,672) – 62.71% of UK adults, or 49.45% of the total UK population
  • 10,425,790 fully vaccinated 💉 (↗️ +273,751) – 19.79% of UK adults, or 15.61% of the total UK population

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 17 April 2021)

  • England: Between 0.7 and 1

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 94,890 new cases in total 🦠
  • 1,024 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 446 days since the first reported UK case
  • 410 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 150,841 – Registered up to Friday 9 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Date of change: 19 April - Figures reported by Wales for 48 hour period:

  • Public Health Wales has moved to a 6-day reporting period for COVID-19 surveillance. Figures reported on Mondays for Wales are for a 48-hour period and will probably be around double the usual 24-hour figure. The UK numbers will also include figures for a 48-hour period from Wales on Mondays.

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.