22 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in the last 24 hours in the UK and 2,396 new coronavirus infections. A total of 17,239 new cases in the past 7 days. The plateau continues, but which way next? Dr Joe Pajak asks.

First published in April 2021.

As of today, 10,775,817 people have completed the full course of TWO vaccinations (as required with the vaccines in use in the UK currently) against Covid-19; that is equivalent to 16.13% of the total UK population (or 20.46% of the adult population, 18 years and above). While, 33,139,742 people in total have received one dose of the vaccine: that is equivalent to 49.61% of the total population (or 62.92% of the adult population, 18 years and above).

Note: We must remember that the vaccines currently used in the UK require two doses to complete the course, so there is no cause for complacency.

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Vaccines continue to the best way for people to be protected from COVID-19 and have already saved thousands of lives, however there is also little doubt that the recent lockdown has contributed significantly to the downward data trends.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 22 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. While, transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 2,396 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.

It is also worth noting here, the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (3,274) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (34).

Latest health care data indicate that 2,004 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 19 April), and 300 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 20 April) – a continuing concern for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 21 April 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,396 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↘️ -128 on yesterday’s data)
  • 192 hospital admissions as of 14 April (date of last data report)
  • 2,004 hospital in-patients as of 19 April (↗️ +31 since last data report on 18 April)
  • 300 patients on ventilation beds as of 20 April (↘️ -18 since last data report on 19 April)
  • 22 deaths in the last 24 hours (↘️ -11 on yesterday’s data)
  • 4,395,703 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,327 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 21 April 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 21 April 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 20 April 2021)

  • 33,139,742 first doses 💉 (↗️ +107,622) – 62.92% of UK adults, or 49.61% of the total UK population
  • 10,775,817 fully vaccinated 💉 (↗️ +350,027) – 20.46% of UK adults, or 16.13% of the total UK population

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 17 April 2021)

  • England: Between 0.7 and 1

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 91,681 new cases in total 🦠
  • 948 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 447 days since the first reported UK case
  • 411 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 150,841 – Registered up to Friday 9 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

21 April – Removal of 2 historical deaths in Scotland
Two previously reported, confirmed COVID-19 deaths have been removed. This was due to further investigation by Public Health Scotland into the length of time between the deaths and the positive COVID-19 test results. Because of this, the cumulative total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths reported for Scotland is 7,643 instead of 7,645. The UK cumulative total has also been adjusted.

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 21 April 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]