18 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in the last 24 hours in the UK and 2,729 new coronavirus infections. A total of 17,296 new cases in the past 7 days. The plateau continues. Where next depends on our control of variants of concern, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in April 2021.

As of today, 11,192,601 people have completed the full course of TWO vaccinations (as required with the vaccines in use in the UK currently) against Covid-19; that is equivalent to 16.76% of the total UK population (or 21.25% of the adult population, 18 years and above). While, 33,257,651 people in total have received one dose of the vaccine: that is equivalent to 49.79% of the total population (or 63.14% of the adult population, 18 years and above).

Note: We must remember that the vaccines currently used in the UK require two doses to complete the course, so there is no cause for complacency.

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Vaccines continue to the best way for people to be protected from COVID-19 and have already saved thousands of lives, however there is also little doubt that the recent lockdown has contributed significantly to the downward data trends.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 18 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. While, transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 2,729 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.

It is also worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (3,143) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (32).

Latest health care data indicate that 1,915 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 20 April), and 276 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 21 April) – a continuing additional challenge for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 22 April 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,729 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↗️ +333 on yesterday’s data)
  • 140 hospital admissions as of 18 April (↘️ -52 since last data report on 14 April)
  • 1,915 hospital in-patients as of 20 April (↘️ -89 since last data report on 19 April)
  • 276 patients on ventilation beds as of 21 April (↘️ -24 since last data report on 20 April)
  • 18 deaths in the last 24 hours (↘️ -4 on yesterday’s data)
  • 4,398,431 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,345 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 22 April 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 22 April 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 21 April 2021)

  • 33,257,651 first doses 💉 (↗️ +117,909) equivalent to 63.14% of UK adults, or 49.79% of the total UK population
  • 11,192,601 fully vaccinated 💉 (↗️ +416,784) equivalent to 21.25% of UK adults, or 16.76% of the total UK population
People vaccinated in the UK (up to and including 21 April 2021).

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 17 April 2021)

  • England: Between 0.7 and 1

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 88,013 new cases in total 🦠
  • 903 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 448 days since the first reported UK case
  • 412 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 150,841 – Registered up to Friday 9 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

21 April – Removal of 2 historical deaths in Scotland:
Two previously reported, confirmed COVID-19 deaths have been removed. This was due to further investigation by Public Health Scotland into the length of time between the deaths and the positive COVID-19 test results. Because of this, the cumulative total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths reported for Scotland is 7,643 instead of 7,645. The UK cumulative total has also been adjusted.

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospitals.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 22 April 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]