6 deaths due to Covid-19 were reported in the last 24 hours in the UK, together with 2,064 new coronavirus infections. The usual weekend lag. A total of 16,164 new cases in the past 7 days. Tomorrow’s data should clarify whether we are still at a plateau or not, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in April 2021.

As of today, 12,897,123 people have completed the full course of TWO vaccinations (as required with the vaccines in use in the UK currently) against Covid-19; that is equivalent to 19.31% of the total UK population (or 24.49% of the adult population, 18 years and above). While, 33,752,885 people in total have received one dose of the vaccine: that is equivalent to 50.53% of the total population (or 64.08% of the adult population, 18 years and above).

Note: We must remember that the vaccines currently used in the UK require two doses to complete the course, so there is no cause for complacency.

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Vaccines are the best way for people to be protected from COVID-19 and have already saved many thousands of lives, however there is also little doubt that the recent lockdown has contributed significantly to the downward data trends.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 6 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. While, transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 2,064 new cases reported in the last 24 hours. The usual weekend lag.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (2,754) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (29).

Latest health care data indicate that 1,781 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 22 April), and 243 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 23 April) – a continuing concern for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 26 April 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,064 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↗️ +352 on yesterday’s data)
  • 132 hospital admissions as of 20 April (last data report)
  • 1,781 hospital in-patients as of 22 April (last data report)
  • 243 patients on ventilation beds as of 23 April (last data report)
  • 6 deaths in the last 24 hours (↘️ -5 on yesterday’s data)
  • 4,406,946 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,434 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 26 April 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 26 April 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 25 April 2021)

  • 💉 33,752,885 first doses (↗️ +79,695)
    📈 64.08% of UK adults (18 and above)
    📈 50.53% of UK population  (total population)
  • 💉 12,897,123 fully vaccinated (↗️ +260,801)
    📈 24.49% of UK adults (18 and above)
    📈 19.31% of UK population (total population)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 23 April 2021)

  • England: Between 0.8 and 1

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 77,110 new cases in total 🦠
  • 822 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 452 days since the first reported UK case
  • 416 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 150,841 – Registered up to Friday 9 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

NOTE – Re: Estimates of R and growth rate for the whole of the UK

“Estimates of R and growth rate for the whole of the UK are averages over different epidemiological situations and should be regarded as a guide to the general trend rather than a description of the epidemic state. They rely on combining a smaller number of models to generate said estimates than those used at the nation level. As restrictions are lifted differentially across the four nations, UK level estimates become less meaningful than previously, and are more easily biased by the models combined in their calculation. SPI-M-O considers the estimates for the four nations and NHS England regions as more robust and useful metrics than those for the whole UK. As a result, no UK estimates for R or growth rate have been agreed and UK level ranges will no longer be produced.”

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospital.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 26 April 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]