22 deaths due to Covid-19 were reported in the last 24 hours in the UK, together with 2,445 new coronavirus infections. A total of 15,811 new cases in the past 7 days. Let’s not let our guard down, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in April 2021.

As of today, 14,043,961 people have completed the full course of TWO vaccinations (as required with the vaccines in use in the UK currently) against Covid-19; that is equivalent to 21.02% of the total UK population (or 26.66% of the adult population, 18 years and above). While, 34,094,048 people in total have received one dose of the vaccine: that is equivalent to 51.04% of the total population (or 64.73% of the adult population, 18 years and above).

Note: We must remember that the vaccines currently used in the UK require two doses to complete the course, so there is no cause for complacency.

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Vaccines continue to be best way for people to be protected from COVID-19 and have already saved many thousands of lives, however there is also little doubt that the recent lockdown has contributed significantly to the downward data trends.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 22 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. While, transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 2,445 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (2,566) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (26).

Latest health care data indicate that 1,553 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 27 April), and 208 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 28 April) – a continuing concern for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 29 April 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,445 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↗️ +279 on yesterday’s data)
  • 134 hospital admissions as of 25 April (↗️ +10 since last data report on 24 April)
  • 1,553 hospital in-patients as of 27 April (↘️ -81 since last data report on 26 April)
  • 208 patients on ventilation beds as of 28 April (↘️ -19 since last data report on 26 April)
  • 22 deaths in the last 24 hours (↘️ -7 on yesterday’s data)
  • 4,414,242 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,502 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 29 April 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 29 April 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 28 April 2021)

  • 💉34,094,048 first doses (↗️ +134,140)
    📈 64.73% of UK adults (18 and above)
    📈 51.04% of UK population  (total population)
  • 💉 14,043,961 fully vaccinated (↗️ +462,885)
    📈 26.66% of UK adults (18 and above)
    📈 21.02% of UK population (total population)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 23 April 2021)

  • England: Latest R range for England 0.8 to 1.0
  • Latest growth rate range for England -5% to -1% per day

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 71,835 new cases in total 🦠
  • 740 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 455 days since the first reported UK case
  • 419 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 151,243 – Registered up to Friday 16 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

NOTE – Re: Estimates of R and growth rate for the whole of the UK

“Estimates of R and growth rate for the whole of the UK are averages over different epidemiological situations and should be regarded as a guide to the general trend rather than a description of the epidemic state. They rely on combining a smaller number of models to generate said estimates than those used at the nation level. As restrictions are lifted differentially across the four nations, UK level estimates become less meaningful than previously, and are more easily biased by the models combined in their calculation. SPI-M-O considers the estimates for the four nations and NHS England regions as more robust and useful metrics than those for the whole UK. As a result, no UK estimates for R or growth rate have been agreed and UK level ranges will no longer be produced.”

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of NHS foundation trust hospital.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 29 April 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]