15 deaths due to Covid-19 were reported in the last 24 hours in the UK, together with 2,381 new coronavirus infections. A total of 15,514 new cases in the past 7 days. No time to be lulled into a potentially false sense of security, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in April 2021.

As of today, 14,532,875 people have completed the full course of TWO vaccinations (as required with the vaccines in use in the UK currently) against Covid-19; that is equivalent to 21.76% of the total UK population (or 27.59% of the adult population, 18 years and above). While, 34,216,087 people in total have received one dose of the vaccine: that is equivalent to 51.22% of the total population (or 64.96% of the adult population, 18 years and above).

Remember that the vaccines currently used in the UK require two doses to complete the course, so there is really no time for complacency.

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Latest coronavirus news on 30 April from the New Scientist, reports on studies by Professor Danny Altmann and his team at Imperial College:

Single dose of Pfizer vaccine may not generate sufficient immune response against coronavirus variants.

“Most people in the UK who have received a coronavirus vaccine have so far only gotten a single dose, which may not produce a sufficient immune response against new variants if the person hasn’t already had covid-19.”

Danny Altmann at Imperial College London and his team studied blood samples from UK healthcare workers who had either received one dose of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, previously been infected with the coronavirus or both. Their findings suggest that people who have had their first dose of vaccine, and haven’t had a prior coronavirus infection, may not be fully protected against these variants.

“For a country like the UK, which has the majority of its vaccinated people on one dose and also has an eye on the horizon for variants of concern, that’s a potential vulnerability,” said Altmann, adding that it will therefore be important to ensure that people in the UK get their second dose of vaccine.

Vaccines continue to be best way for people to be protected from COVID-19 and have already saved many thousands of lives, however there is also little doubt that the recent lockdown has contributed significantly to the downward data trends.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 15 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. While, transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 2,381 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (2,529) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (25).

Latest health care data indicate that 1,497 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 28 April), and 196 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 29 April) – a continuing concern for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 30 April 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,381 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↘️ -64 on yesterday’s data)
  • 132 hospital admissions as of 26 April (↘️ -2 since last data report on 25 April)
  • 1,497 hospital in-patients as of 28 April (↘️ -56 since last data report on 27 April)
  • 196 patients on ventilation beds as of 29 April (↘️ -12 since last data report on 28 April)
  • 15 deaths in the last 24 hours (↘️ -7 on yesterday’s data)
  • 4,416,623 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,517 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 30 April 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 30 April 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 29 April 2021)

  • 💉34,216,087 first doses (↗️ +122,039)
    📈 64.96% of UK adults (18 and above)
    📈 51.22% of UK population  (total population)
  • 💉 14,532,875 fully vaccinated (↗️ +488,914)
    📈 27.59% of UK adults (18 and above)
    📈 21.76% of UK population (total population)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 30 April 2021)

  • Latest R and growth rate for England
  • Latest R range for England = 0.8 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England = -4% to -1%

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 70,814 new cases in total 🦠
  • 703 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 456 days since the first reported UK case
  • 420 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 151,243 – Registered up to Friday 16 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of an NHS foundation trust hospital.