14 deaths due to Covid-19 were reported in the last 24 hours in the UK, together with 1,671 new coronavirus infections. A total of 15,319 new cases in the past 7 days. Endless plateau, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in May 2021.

As of today, 15,329,617 people have completed the full course of TWO vaccinations (as required with the vaccines in use in the UK currently) against Covid-19; that is equivalent to 22.95% of the total UK population (or 29.10% of the adult population, 18 years and above). While, 34,505,380 people in total have received one dose of the vaccine: that is equivalent to 51.66% of the total population (or 65.51% of the adult population, 18 years and above).

Remember that the vaccines currently used in the UK require two doses to complete the course, so there is really no time for complacency.

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Vaccines continue to be best way for people to be protected from COVID-19 and have already saved many thousands of lives, however there is also little doubt that the recent lockdown has also contributed significantly to the downward data trends.

Back to today’s data in the UK, which indicate the sad fact that another 14 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. While, transmission of the virus continues to be at a high level with 1,671 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (2,453) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (25).

Latest health care data indicate that 1,451 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 29 April), and 185 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 30 April) – a continuing concern for our NHS.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 2 May 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 1,671 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↘️ -236 on yesterday’s data)
  • 160 hospital admissions as of 27 April (last data reported)
  • 1,451 hospital in-patients as of 29 April (last data reported)
  • 185 patients on ventilation beds as of 30 April (last data reported)
  • 14 deaths in the last 24 hours (↗️ +7 on yesterday’s data)
  • 4,420,201 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,538 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 2 May 2021)
14-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 2 May 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 1 May 2021)

  • 💉34,505,380 first doses (↗️ +143,175)
    📈 65.51% of UK adults (18+)
    📈 51.66% of UK population (total population)
  • 💉15,329,617 fully vaccinated (↗️ +372,304)
    📈 29.10% of UK adults (18+)
    📈 22.95% of UK population (total population)

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 30 April 2021)

  • Latest R and growth rate for England
  • Latest R range for England = 0.8 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England = -4% to -1%

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 68,672 new cases in total 🦠
  • 704 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 458 days since the first reported UK case
  • 422 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 151,243 – Registered up to Friday 16 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of an NHS foundation trust hospital.

[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 2 May 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]