11 deaths due to Covid-19 were reported in the last 24 hours, together with 2,657 new coronavirus infections. A total of 16,079 new cases in the past 7 days. We should be concerned with cases rising overall, given the alarming reports of increased numbers of the Indian Variant, Dr Joe Pajak writes.

First published in May 2021.

Today’s data in the UK indicate sadly that 11 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. Transmission of the virus continues to be at a relatively high level with 2,657 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (2,268) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (17).

The total number of 7-day case numbers, since 5 May 2021, continues to show an increase; we should be concerned, given the alarming reports of increased numbers of the Indian Variant B.1.617.2 across the UK.

7-day (total) case numbers, daily cumulative, since 5 May 2021:

  • 13-May: 7-day total cases = 16,079
  • 12-May: 7-day total cases = 16,035
  • 11-May: 7-day total cases = 15,895
  • 10-May: 7-day total cases = 15,367
  • 09-May: 7-day total cases = 14,659
  • 08-May: 7-day total cases = 14,560
  • 07-May: 7-day total cases = 14,420
  • 06-May: 7-day total cases = 14,311
  • 05-May: 7-day total cases = 14,143

Latest health care data indicate that 1,098 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 11 May), and 136 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 12 May), and hospital admissions slightly up (see below) – clearly a continuing concern for our National Health Service.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 13 May 2021:

(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)

  • 2,657 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↗️ +373 on yesterday’s data)
  • 99 hospital admissions as of 9 May (↘️ -7 since last data report 8 May)
  • 1,098 hospital in-patients as of 11 May (↘️ -23 since last data report 10 May)
  • 136 patients on ventilation beds as of 12 May (↘️ -2 since last data report 11 May)
  • 11 deaths in the last 24 hours (same number as reported yesterday)

  • 4,444,631 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
  • 127,651 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 13 May 2021)
7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 13 May 2021.

People vaccinated: (up to and including 12 May 2021)

  • 💉35,906,671 first doses (↗️+184,210)
    📈 68.17% of UK adults (18+)
    📈 53.76% of UK population
  • 💉18,890,969 fully vaccinated (↗️+452,437)
    📈 35.86% of UK adults (18+)
    📈 28.28% of UK population

Estimated ®️ number: (as of 7 May 2021)

  • Latest R and growth rate for England
    0.8 to 1.0
  • Latest growth rate range for England
    -3% to 0% per day

An R value between 0.8 and 1.0 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 10 other people.
A growth rate of between -3% and 0% means that the number of new infections is broadly flat or shrinking by up to 3% every day.

State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 63,497 new cases in total 🦠
  • 462 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 469 days since the first reported UK case
  • 433 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 151,765 – Registered up to Friday 30 April 2021.

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  

Data source:

Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of an NHS foundation trust hospital.