17 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24 hours, together with 2,193 new coronavirus infections. A total of 15,782 new cases in 7 days. The UK must be seriously concerned, given further alarming reports of increased numbers of the Indian Variant, and now 4 deaths attributed to this variant, Dr Joe Pajak writes.
First published in May 2021.
Today’s data in the UK indicate sadly that 17 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. Transmission of the virus continues to be at a relatively high level with 2,193 new cases reported in the last 24 hours.
It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections, and of deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (2,253) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (16).
The 7-day rolling average case numbers have increased (by 9.4%) in the past 7 days from 14,420 to 15,782. A real concern now that 4 deaths have been connected to the Indian Variant B.1.617.2 and further alarming reports of increased numbers of the Indian Variant across the UK.
Latest health care data indicate that 1,060 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 12 May), and 129 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 13 May) – clearly a continuing concern for our National Health Service.
Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.
The Full Data
UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 14 May 2021:
(previous day’s figures and change in brackets)
- 2,193 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↘️ -464 on yesterday’s data)
- 104 hospital admissions as of 10 May (↗️ +5 since last data report 9 May)
- 1,060 hospital in-patients as of 12 May (↘️ -38 since last data report 11 May)
- 129 patients on ventilation beds as of 13 May (↘️ -7 since last data report 12 May)
- 17 deaths in the last 24 hours (↗️ +6 since yesterday)
- 4,446,824 total positive cases since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
- 127,668 total deaths – within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 14 May 2021)
7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 14 May 2021.
People vaccinated: (up to and including 13 May 2021)
- 💉36,115,955 first doses (↗️+209,284)
📈 68.57% of UK adults (18+)
📈 54.07% of UK population
- 💉19,319,010 fully vaccinated (↗️+428,041)
📈 36.68% of UK adults (18+)
📈 28.92% of UK population
Estimated ®️ number: (as of 14 May 2021)
- 0.8 to 1.1
- Latest growth rate range for England -3% to +1%
An R value between 0.8 and 1.0 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 10 other people.
A growth rate of between -3% and 0% means that the number of new infections is broadly flat or shrinking by up to 3% every day.
State of the UK epidemic:
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.
New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:
- 63,094 new cases in total 🦠
- 445 deaths in total
- 470 days since the first reported UK case
- 434 days since the first reported UK death
The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 151,765 – Registered up to Friday 30 April 2021.
These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Variants: distribution of cases data | Public Health England
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
- What’s new | UK Government
▫ Dr Joe Pajak, Professional experience applied scientific research and development, then director of a national children’s charity, trustee of a disability charity, and governor of an NHS foundation trust hospital.
[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 14 May 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]