8,125 new coronavirus infections (highest daily number since 26 February) and 17 deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24 hours. Also 112,431 new infections reported in the past 28 days. The roadmap has gone too far. Every day we continue on this route wastes another vital opportunity to prevent further transmission of the virus, further increases in hospitalisations, and worse.
First published in June 2021.
As of 11 June 2021, 498 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has infected 4,550,944 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and been responsible for at least 127,884 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result); while official data indicate 152,289 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to 28 May 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).
The latest vaccination data indicates that 41,088,485 people (aged 18 and above) have received a first dose of vaccine against Covid-19 in the UK, while 29,165,140 people (aged 18 and above) are now fully vaccinated.
It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.
Total UK population: 66,796,800, via ONS mid-year June 2020 (subject to changes in population over the year).
- Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,673,433
- Population aged 16 and above = 54,098,971
- Population aged 11 and above = 57,975,918
- Population aged 5 and above = 62,939,544
We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above.
As of today 43.66% of the “total” UK population has received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 17 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. Transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 8,125 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.
It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (4,015 – the highest 28-day average since 13 April 2021) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (8).
The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 92.71% in the past 14 days from 38,879 to 74,923 (i.e. 14-day totals, from 29 May 2021 to 11 June 2021). While, the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 58.1% in the relevant 7-day period.
Comment of the Day.
The health secretary gave evidence to the House of Commons Science and Technology Committee and the Health and Social Care Committee, on Thursday, as part of their joint inquiry on the government’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Matt Hancock made many claims to protect his department and the government over accusations of cronyism and the mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic in Britain.
Professor Stephen Reicher, Professor of Social Psychology at the University of St Andrews, and a member of SAGE/SPI-B explains, “Hancock claims that earlier lockdown would have gone against the scientific consensus and that ‘the clear advice at the time was that there’s only a limited period that people would put up with it’. This is quite simply untrue.
“I well recall the moment we first heard the argument that lockdown had to be delayed because people wouldn’t abide it for long. We had no idea where the idea came from, and we were horrified first and foremost because we felt it was wrong and would do great damage.
“We felt that it would be used subsequently to blame the scientists for the Government’s failures. Now, over a year later, we realise that we were more accurate than we feared.
“Hancock argues he was stopped by the scientists from acting quickly against COVID. This is an inversion of the truth. If this were a proper inquiry, Hancock would be guilty of perjury.”
Read more experts’ opinion in our article:
When you take a look at the data, you cannot but help notice something is going wrong. It is clearly time to listen to those SAGE experts who are currently warning us of the risk of a “substantial” third wave of coronavirus in the UK.
📈 𝟴,𝟭𝟮𝟱 daily cases | Increase of 𝟯𝟬.𝟮𝟱% ↗️ compare to previous week
📈 𝟰𝟱,𝟴𝟵𝟱 weekly cases | Increase of 𝟱𝟴.𝟭% ↗️ compare to previous week
📈 𝟵𝟳𝟱 weekly hospital admission | Increase of 𝟭𝟰.𝟰% ↗️ compare to previous week
📈 𝟲𝟭 weekly deaths | Increase of 𝟭𝟬.𝟵% ↗️ compare to previous week
📈 𝟮𝟱,𝟭𝟲𝟳 sequenced cases of the Delta variant in 28 days | 𝟲𝟵.𝟭𝟵% ↗️ of all cases
The government’s roadmap, as we know it, cannot possibly still go ahead.
• Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully ✅
• Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops ✅
• Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad ✅
• Step 4: 21 June 🚦 Final restrictions lifted ❓
Just 10 days to 21 June, where are we now? Well... Warning signs repeatedly being ignored, science ignored, experts ignored, and data ignored by the government. It is ever clearer where we are heading, and sadly time is against us.
Latest health care data indicate that 1,058 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 9 June) – highest since 12 May, and 158 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 10 June) – a growing concern for our National Health Service.
Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.
The Full Data
UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 11 June 2021:
(previous figures and changes in brackets)
• 8,125 positive tests in the last 24 hours (↗️ +732 on yesterday’s data)
• 173 hospital admissions as of 7 June (↗️ +20 on last report, dated 6 June)
• 1,058 hospital in-patients as of 9 June (↗️ +10 on last report, dated 8 June)
• 158 patients on ventilation beds as of 10 June (↘️ -1 on last report, dated 9 June)
• 17 deaths in the last 24 hours (↗️ +10 compared to yesterday’s figure)
• 4,550,944 total positive cases (recorded) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
• 127,884 total deaths – number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 11 June 2021)
7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 11 June 2021.
People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 10 June 2021)
• 💉41,088,485 first doses (↗️+201,607)
📈 78.01% of UK adults (18+)
📈 61.51% of UK population
• 💉29,165,140 fully vaccinated (↗️+308,038)
📈 55.37% of UK adults (18+)
📈 43.66% of UK population
People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 10 June 2021)
Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 11 June 2021)
- Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
- Latest growth rate range for England +3% to +6% per day
- An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 3% and 6% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 3% and 6% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.
New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:
- 112,431 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 14 April 2021
- 216 deaths in total
- 498 days since the first reported UK case
- 462 days since the first reported UK death
The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 152,289 – Registered up to Friday 28 May 2021.
These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Variants: distribution of cases data | Public Health England
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
- What’s new | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, UK: 4 June 2021 | ONS
- United Kingdom population mid-year estimate | ONS
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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 11 June 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]