11,625 new coronavirus infections and sadly 27 deaths due to Covid-19 have been reported in 24 hours, together with 188,871 new infections reported in the past 28 days. With a rising tide of infections across the country, the question is: Is now really the right time to be opening up Wembley Stadium for large crowds to watch football matches?


First published in June 2021.


Today’s Summary.

509 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has infected 4,651,988 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data); and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,008 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,490 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 11 June 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 66,796,800, via ONS mid-year June 2020 (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures are due to be updated at the end of June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,673,433
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,098,971
  • Population aged 11 and above = 57,975,918
  • Population aged 5 and above = 62,939,544

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above.

No update to England vaccinations data today, following an IT issue reported to the NHS on 21 June, so it has not been possible to update vaccination figures for England. UK totals published today by the government only include updates from Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales. The issue is now resolved, and the daily vaccination statistics will be updated on 23 June, as vaccinations are added to the digital system. There has been no impact on vaccinations taking place. The new data therefore will be updated fully here tomorrow.

As of yesterday (21 June 2021) 47.08% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 27 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19 (the highest one day total since 5 May 2021) . Transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 11,625 new infections reported in the last 24 hours (the highest one day total since 19 February 2021).


It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections (6,745) and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (10).

The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 88.5% in the past 14 days from 67,129 to 126,525 (14-day totals, from 9 June 2021 to 22 June 2021). While, the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 34.8% in the relevant 7-day period.

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Comment of the Day.

“UEFA EURO 2020 semi-finals and final on 6, 7 and 11 July 2021 will see the largest crowds assembled at a sporting event in the UK in over 15 months,” the Department for Digital, Culture, Media & Sport (DCMS) proudly stated on the government website, on Tuesday evening.

More than 60,000 fans will now be permitted to attend the semi-finals and final of UEFA EURO 2020 at Wembley Stadium, increasing attendance to 75% capacity during the latter stages of the tournament.”


UEFA President Aleksander Ceferin was obviously quite happy. Money buys you everything!

M. Ceferin said: I am grateful to the Prime Minister and the UK Government for their hard work in finalising these arrangements with us, to make the tournament final stages a great success in Wembley.”

But with a rising tide of infections across the country, the one question the government should answer today is: Is now really the right time to be opening up Wembley Stadium for large crowds to watch football matches at the Euros?

Twitter

The World Health Organisation (WHO) is not impressed either. Robb Butler, the executive director at WHO Europe, told Sky News that the agency is indeed concerned about easing of restrictions in some of the host countries.

“A few of the stadiums hosting the tournament are now increasing the number of spectators allowed in the stadium to watch a game. In a few of the host cities, Covid-19 cases are already on the rise in the area where matches will be held.

“Learning from experience, we must act fast on signals showing increasing cases – expanding testing and sequencing; stepping up contact tracing; and building very high vaccine uptake fast among those vulnerable and most at risk.”

Pandemic? What pandemic? (sic)

Will this government ever learn from past mistakes? Will they start to protect people, instead of playing in Team Corona? Will they even start to care?

THE NEW ROADMAP:
Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully ✅
Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops ✅
Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad ✅
Step 4: 21 June 🚦 Final relaxing of restrictions delayed ⛔️
Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions to be lifted ❓










Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:

UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.


Latest health care data indicate that 1,378 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 20 June) – highest since 29 April 2021 2021, and 227 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 21 June), highest number since 26 April 2021, and there were 225 new Covid-19 admissions (on the 16 June), all three an increasing concern for our National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

The Full Data

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 22 June 2021:

(previous figures and changes in brackets)

11,625 positive tests in the last 24 hours | ↗️ 𝟱𝟭.𝟱% vs last week
225 hospital admissions as of 16 June | ↗️ 𝟮𝟬.𝟵% vs last week
1,378 hospital in-patients as of 20 June | ↗️ 𝟮𝟭.𝟭% vs last week
227 patients on ventilation beds as of 21 June | ↗️ 𝟮𝟬.𝟳% vs last week
27 deaths in the last 24 hours | ↗️ 𝟭𝟳𝟬% vs last week

4,651,988 total positive cases (recorded) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
128,008 total deaths – number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 22 June 2021)

Additional Data:

CASES
📈 𝟭𝟭,𝟲𝟮𝟱 daily
↗️ 𝟱𝟭.𝟱% vs last week
📈 𝟳𝟮,𝟰𝟬𝟭 weekly
↗️ 𝟯𝟰.𝟴%

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 𝟮𝟮𝟱 daily
↗️ 𝟮𝟬.𝟵% vs last week
📈 𝟭,𝟰𝟰𝟲 weekly
↗️ 𝟯𝟵.𝟲%

DEATHS
📈 𝟮𝟳 daily
↗️ 𝟭𝟳𝟬% vs last week
📈 𝟵𝟭 weekly
↗️ 𝟰𝟰.𝟰%


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 22 June 2021.

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 21 June 2021)

This data will be updated tomorrow when the government publishes the missing England data from 21 June 2021.

• 💉43,127,763 first doses
📈 81.88% of UK adults (18+)
📈 64.57% of UK population

• 💉31,449,915 fully vaccinated
📈 59.71% of UK adults (18+)
📈 47.08% of UK population

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 20 June 2021 -- does not include 21 June missing data)

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 11 June 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +3% to +6% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 3% and 6% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 3% and 6% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 188,871 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 19 March 2021
  • 269 deaths in total

Days since:

  • 509 days since the first reported UK case
  • 473 days since the first reported UK death

The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 152,490 – Registered up to Friday 11 June 2021.


These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  


Data source:




22 June 2021 – No update to England vaccinations
Following an IT issue reported to the NHS on 21 June, it has not been possible to update vaccination figures for England. UK totals only include updates from Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales. The issue is now resolved, and the daily vaccination statistics will be updated on 23 June, as vaccinations are added to the digital system. There has been no impact on vaccinations taking place.




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 22 June 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]