𝟭𝟲,𝟳𝟬𝟯 new coronavirus infections and sadly 𝟮𝟭 deaths due to Covid-19 have been reported in 24 hours, together with 𝟮𝟭𝟰,𝟵𝟴𝟳 new infections reported in the past 28 days.
First published in June 2021.
511 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has infected 4,684,572 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data); and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,048 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,490 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 11 June 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).
It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.
Total UK population: 66,796,800, via ONS mid-year June 2020 (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures are due to be updated at the end of June 2021.
- Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,673,433
- Population aged 16 and above = 54,098,971
- Population aged 11 and above = 57,975,918
- Population aged 5 and above = 62,939,544
We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?
As of 22 June 2021, 47.77% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 21 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. Transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 16,703 new infections reported in the last 24 hours (the highest one day total since 6 February 2021).
It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 7,678 the highest 28-day total since 15 March 2021, and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (10).
The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 92.2% in the past 14 days from 74,923 to 144,007 (14-day totals, from 11 June 2021 to 24 June 2021). While, the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 44.8% in the relevant 7-day period.
Comment of the Day.
“Things are looking good for 19 July... and my strong expectation is we can lift these major restrictions then and get back to normal.”
Really? Let’s just check some data:
📈 𝟭𝟲,𝟳𝟬𝟯 daily cases | ↗️ 𝟱𝟭.𝟳% vs last week
📈 𝟴𝟱,𝟭𝟳𝟳 weekly cases | ↗️ 𝟰𝟰.𝟴% vs las week
📈️ 𝟮𝟭 daily deaths | ↗️ 𝟭𝟬.𝟱% vs last week
📈 𝟭𝟬𝟯 weekly deaths | ↗️ 𝟯𝟮.𝟭% vs last week
Asked if he expects to stop wearing a mask when it becomes legal not do so, the Chancellor replied, “Yes, as soon as possible.”
Professor Alice Roberts, Professor of Public Engagement in Science at the University of Birmingham tweeted:
“Things are looking good for 19 July...”, according to Rish Sunak.
Nothing to worry about schools, then... right? Oh, wait...
Schools not OK? Why would that possibly be?
Could it be because the government does not really care about our children and would rather “allow the disease to circulate in younger people” instead?
“The UK Government has strongly denied there is any policy to increase infections.” If the government wanted to deny having a herd immunity strategy for policy, why would they not then vaccinate young people now?
Dr Gabriel Scally, visiting professor of public health at the University of Bristol and president of the section of epidemiology and public health of the Royal Society of Medicine, tweeted:
THE NEW ROADMAP:
• Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully ✅
• Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops ✅
• Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad ✅
• Step 4: 21 June 🚦 Final relaxing of restrictions delayed ⛔️
• Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions to be lifted ❓
Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
Latest health care data indicate that 1,533 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 22 June) – highest since 27 April 2021 2021, and 246 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 23 June), and there were 204 new Covid-19 admissions (on the 20 June), all three an increasing concern for our National Health Service.
Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.
The Full Data
UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 24 June 2021:
(previous figures and changes in brackets)
• 16,703 positive tests in the last 24 hours | ↗️ 𝟱𝟭.𝟳% vs last week
• 204 hospital admissions as of 20 June | ↘️ -𝟴.𝟭% vs last week
• 1,533 hospital in-patients as of 22 June | ↗️ 𝟮𝟰.𝟳% vs last week
• 246 patients on ventilation beds as of 23 June | ↗️ 𝟭𝟴.𝟮% vs last week
• 21 deaths in the last 24 hours | ↗️ 𝟭𝟬.𝟱% vs last week
• 4,684,572 total positive cases (recorded) since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
• 128,048 total deaths – number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 24 June 2021)
📈 𝟭𝟲,𝟳𝟬𝟯 daily
↗️ 𝟱𝟭.𝟳% vs last week
📈 𝟴𝟱,𝟭𝟳𝟳 weekly
📉 𝟮𝟬𝟰 daily
↘️ 𝟴.𝟭% vs last week
📉 𝟭,𝟱𝟱𝟰 weekly
📈️ 𝟮𝟭 daily
↗️ 𝟭𝟬.𝟱% vs last week
📈 𝟭𝟬𝟯 weekly
7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 24 June 2021.
People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 23 June 2021)
• 💉43,656,327 first doses
📈 82.88% of UK adults (18+)
📈 65.36% of the total UK population
• 💉31,908,103 fully vaccinated
📈 60.58% of UK adults (18+)
📈 47.77% of the total UK population
People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 23 June 2021.
Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 11 June 2021)
- Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
- Latest growth rate range for England +3% to +6% per day
- An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 3% and 6% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 3% and 6% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.
New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:
- 214,987 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 15 March 2021
- 290 deaths in total in the last 28 days
- 511 days since the first reported UK case
- 475 days since the first reported UK death
The total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes: 152,490 – Registered up to Friday 11 June 2021.
These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Variants: distribution of cases data | Public Health England
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
- What’s new | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, UK | ONS
- United Kingdom population mid-year estimate | ONS
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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 24 June 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]