First published in June 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

516 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has infected 4,775,301 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data); and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,126 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,606 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 11 June 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 23 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. Transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 20,479 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 10,354 (the highest 28-day average since 5 March 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths (12).


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 103.4% in the past 14 days from 97,105 to 197,542 (14-day totals, from 16 June 2021 to 29 June 2021). While, the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 72.8% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that 1,585 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 27 June) and 297 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 28 June), and there were 265 new Covid-19 admissions (on the 23 June) – the highest since 31 March 2021, all three increasingly a real concern for our National Health Service, if not our government?


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.


THE NEW ROADMAP:
Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully ✅
Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops ✅
Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad ✅
S̶t̶e̶p̶ ̶4̶:̶ ̶2̶1̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶🚦̶ ̶F̶i̶n̶a̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶l̶a̶x̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶r̶e̶s̶t̶r̶i̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶s̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶a̶y̶e̶d̶
Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions to be lifted ❓

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💬 Quote of the Day.



🧬 Variants News.










Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:

UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 29 June 2021

CASES
📉 20,479 daily
↗️ +76.1% vs last week
📈 125,141 weekly
↗️ +72.8% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 265 daily
↗️ +18.3% vs last week
📈 1,604 weekly
↗️ +10.7% vs last week

IN-PATIENTS
📈 1,585 daily
↗️ +14.9% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 297 daily
↗️ +30.2% vs last week

DEATHS
📈 23 daily
↗️ +83.3% vs last week
📉 118 weekly
↗️ +29.7% vs last week

TOTALS
🔴 4,775,301 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,126 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 29 June 2021)
⚫️ 152,606 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 18 June 2021.


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 29 June 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 28 June 2021)

• 💉44,581,771 first doses
📈 84.29% of UK adults (18+)
📈 66.46% of the total UK population

• 💉32,721,762 fully vaccinated
📈 61.87% of UK adults (18+)
📈 48.78% of the total UK population

* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 28 June 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 28 June 2021, 48.78% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).


📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 26 June 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +3% to +5% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 3% and 6% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 3% and 6% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 289,922 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 5 March 2021
  • 344 deaths in total in the last 28 days

Days since:

  • 516 days since the first reported UK case
  • 480 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying  


📌 Data Sources:







— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 29 June 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]