27,334 new coronavirus infections and sadly 9 further deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24 hours, together with 414,940 new infections reported in the past 28 days.


First published in July 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

522 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has now been responsible for infecting 4,930,534 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)  and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,231 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,606 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 18 June 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 9 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19. Transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 27,334 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 14,819 (the highest 28-day average since 24 February 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths which stands at 14.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 132.7% in the past 14 days from 126,525 to 294,415 (14-day totals, from 22 June 2021 to 5 July 2021). While, the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 53.2% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that 1,905 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 1 July) and 321 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 2 July), and there were 358 new Covid-19 admissions (on the 29 June) – all three increasingly a concern for our National Health Service, if not our government?


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.


🗺️ UK Government Roadmap.

• Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully. ✅
• Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops. ✅
• Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad. ✅
• S̶t̶e̶p̶ ̶4̶:̶ ̶2̶1̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶🚦̶ ̶F̶i̶n̶a̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶l̶a̶x̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶r̶e̶s̶t̶r̶i̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶s̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶a̶y̶e̶d̶.  ❌
• Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions lifted.

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PM Boris Johnson. | Number 10

💬 Comment of the Day.

With a surging virus, is the UK government really planning to act so recklessly as to unlock all restrictions and risk turning the country into a variant factory? As Professor Devi Sridhar, Professor of Global Public Health at the University of Edinburgh, recently told the New York Times, “The world is watching the U.K. to see what living with Covid and high vaccine uptake looks like.

“The next few weeks will reveal if they’ve gambled correctly, or we end up having another wave of high hospitalizations.”

It is indeed a massive experiment and the world is watching, unconvinced and could rightly be worried that the UK becomes a variant factory.

We heard Boris Johnson’s message about shifting to personal responsibility or as the PM put it on Monday, “to allow people to make their own informed decisions” or “using common sense” about a year ago. How did it go?... A disaster: the second wave in the UK was more deadly than the first one.

Gov.uk

The truth is, when the government tells you that you are “going to have to learn to live with the virus”, what they really mean is that they don’t mind if you and your family either catch it or die from it. They don’t intend to vaccinate children for one reason only: they believe that letting the virus rip through schools will help to reach population immunity. They have no problem with it, they said it before.

But they do care about people’s opinions, right? Do they? According to three new YouGov polls, a majority of British people want to keep the face masks going after 19 July, yet one of the announcements was that face masks won’t be required any longer and simply become a “personal choice”.


Finally, contrary to Boris Johnson’s dodgy argument during Monday’s briefing that, “to those who say we should delay again; the alternative is to open up in the winter when the virus will have an advantage or not at all this year”, Dr Christian Yates, Senior Lecturer in Mathematical Biology at the University of Bath, responded in a tweet that One alternative is to open up when everyone has had the chance to be double vaccinated, including children.”

The problem with the UK government’s decision to remove all restrictions is that it goes even against recent evidence that our current vaccines may not be able to protect vaccinated people against the Delta variant without an early booster. Israel’s Haaretz newspaper on Monday published data showing that the effectiveness of the coronavirus vaccines in preventing infection has dropped dramatically from 94% to 64%, according to Israel’s Health Ministry.

The world is watching...    


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This government has given up.
What do experts and health professionals think about the current COVID situation with the government putting economics first by getting rid of COVID restrictions in two weeks’ time, despite increasing cases?


🧬 Variants News.













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 5 July 2021

CASES
📈 27,334 daily
↗️ +19.5% vs last week
📈 178,128 weekly
↗️ +53.2% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS – Unchanged –
📈 358 daily
↗️ +53.6% vs last week
📈 1,953 weekly
↗️ +24.2% vs last week

IN-PATIENTS – Unchanged –
📈 1,905 daily
↗️ +26.4% vs last week
📈 13,312 weekly

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 321 daily
↗️ +24.9% vs last week
📈 2,264 weekly

DEATHS
📉 9 daily
↗️ +200.0% vs last week
📈 128 weekly
↗️ +4.9% vs last week

TOTALS
🔴 4,930,534 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,231 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 5 July 2021)
⚫️ 152,606 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 18 June 2021.


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 5 July 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 4 July 2021)

• 💉45,351,719 first doses
📈 85.75% of UK adults (18+)
📈 67.61% of the total UK population

• 💉33,726,362 fully vaccinated
📈 63.77% of UK adults (18+)
📈 50.28% of the total UK population


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 4 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 4 July 2021, 50.28% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).


📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 26 June 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.1 to 1.3
  • Latest growth rate range for England +2% to +5% per day
  • An R value between 1.1 and 1.3 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 11 and 13 other people. A growth rate of between 2% and 5% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 2% and 5% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 414,940 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 24 February 2021
  • 390 deaths in total in the last 28 days

Days since:

  • 522 days since the first reported UK case
  • 486 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




📌 Data Sources:







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 5 July 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]