28,773 new coronavirus infections and sadly 37 further deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24 hours, together with 437,665 new infections reported in the past 28 days. Is there irrefutable evidence that the link has been broken between infections, hospitalisations, and deaths?
First published in July 2021.
- 📆 Today’s Summary
- 🔍 The Details
- 🗺️ UK Government Roadmap
- 🧬 Variants News
- 📈 Full Data Today
- 💉 Vaccination Data
- 📄 Additional Data
- 📌 Data Sources
📆 Today’s Summary.
523 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has now been responsible for infecting 4,958,868 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,334 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,725 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 25 June 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).
🔍 The Details.
Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 37 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19 [the highest daily number since 23 April 2021], while transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 28,773 new infections reported in the last 24 hours [the highest number reported in a day since 29 January 2021].
It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 15,631 (the highest 28-day average since 23 February 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths which stands at 15.
The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 131.3% in the past 14 days from 134,697 to 311,563 (14-day totals, from 23 June 2021 to 6 July 2021). While the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 49.0% in the relevant 7-day period.
Latest health care data indicate that 2,140 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds (as of 4 July, the highest since 15 April 2021) and 369 patients are requiring intensive care support (as of 5 July, the highest since 13 April 2021)), and there were 406 new Covid-19 admissions (on the 30 June, the highest since 18 March 2021) – all three increasingly a concern for our National Health Service, if not our government?
All potentially providing some important evidence that the link has not been completely severed between infections, hospitalisations, intensive care support and deaths due to the virus?
Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.
🗺️ UK Government Roadmap.
• Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully. ✅
• Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops. ✅
• Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad. ✅
• S̶t̶e̶p̶ ̶4̶:̶ ̶2̶1̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶🚦̶ ̶F̶i̶n̶a̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶l̶a̶x̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶r̶e̶s̶t̶r̶i̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶s̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶a̶y̶e̶d̶. ❌
• Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions lifted.
🧬 Variants News.
Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
📈 Full Data Today
UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 6 July 2021
📈 28,773 daily
↗️ +40.5% vs last week
📈 186,422 weekly
↗️ +49.0% vs last week
📈 406 daily
↗️ +50.4% vs last week
📈 2,092 weekly
↗️ +29.1% vs last week
📈 2,140 daily
↗️ +34.6% vs last week
📈 14,889 weekly
• ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 369 daily
↗️ +24.2% vs last week
📈 2,520 weekly
📈 37 daily
↗️ +60.9% vs last week
📈 142 weekly
↗️ +20.3% vs last week
🔴 4,958,868 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,268 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 6 July 2021)
⚫️ 152,725 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 25 June 2021.
7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 6 July 2021.
💉 Vaccination Data
People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 5 July 2021)
• 💉45,428,681 first doses
📈 85.89% of UK adults (aged 18 and above)
📈 67.72% of the total UK population
• 💉33,874,176 fully vaccinated
📈 64.05% of UK adults (aged 18 and above)
📈 50.50% of the total UK population
* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021
People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 5 July 2021.
It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.
Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.
- Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
- Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
- Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
- Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)
We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?
As of 5 July 2021, 50.50% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
📄 Additional Data
Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 26 June 2021)
- Latest R range for England 1.1 to 1.3
- Latest growth rate range for England +2% to +5% per day
- An R value between 1.1 and 1.3 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 11 and 13 other people. A growth rate of between 2% and 5% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 2% and 5% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.
To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.
New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:
- 437,665 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 23 February 2021
- 414 deaths in total in the last 28 days
- 523 days since the first reported UK case
- 487 days since the first reported UK death
These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.
📌 Data Sources:
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Variants: distribution of cases data | Public Health England
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
- What’s new | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, UK | ONS
- United Kingdom population mid-year estimate | ONS
📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/
🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/
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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 6 July 2021. | The author writes in a personal capacity.]