36,660 new coronavirus infections and sadly 50 new deaths due to Covid-19 reported in 24 hours, together with 620,040 new infections reported in the past 28 days.


First published in July 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

530 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has now been responsible for infecting 5,191,459 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)  and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,481 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,856 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 2 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 50 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19 (highest daily number since 9 April 2021), while transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 36,660 new infections reported in the last 24 hours (highest daily number since 22 January 2021)

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 22,144 (the highest 28-day average since 14 February 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 20.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 96.9% in the past 14 days from 214,555 to 422,498 (14-day totals, from 30 June 2021 to 13 July 2021). While the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 26.6% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that: there were 563 new Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 6 July (the highest since 10 March 2021), 2,731 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 8 July (the highest since 9 April 2021), and 417 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 8 July (the highest since 8 April 2021) – all three measures increasingly a serious concern for our National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.


🗺️ UK Government Roadmap.

• Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully. ✅
• Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops. ✅
• Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad. ✅
• S̶t̶e̶p̶ ̶4̶:̶ ̶2̶1̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶🚦̶ ̶F̶i̶n̶a̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶l̶a̶x̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶r̶e̶s̶t̶r̶i̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶s̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶a̶y̶e̶d̶.  ❌
• Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions lifted.

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PM Boris Johnson. | Number 10

💬 Comment of the Day.

The current data provide important detail and appear to indicate that the link has not been completely severed between infections, hospitalisations, intensive care support and deaths due to the virus. In fact, some believe that this is a link that is unlikely ever to be completely severed. Poor use of the word ‘severed’ by a politician who clearly either didn’t listen to his scientists or failed to grasp the facts.

Ministers are going for full reopening on 19 July, a high-risk experiment. Not only are Covid infection rates rising rapidly, but the trend appears to be up in all other data too, apart from vaccinations, where the trend is now down.

Johnson’s government is throwing caution to the wind by ditching all the regulations together, and still, we don’t know how many hospitalisations and deaths they are willing to ignore.

Data matters!

As Dr Jemma Geoghegan, an evolutionary virologist at the University of Otago, told New Zealand’s Newsroom about the UK: If you are going to train a virus to escape vaccine-induced immunity, you would do exactly what they’re doing.

“You’re basically providing a training ground for the virus to overcome those selection pressures. You’re allowing the virus to continue to spread.

“With this moderately immune population and with the Delta variant that has an R0 that’s estimated to be probably five or six, you need a threshold to be much, much, much higher than they currently have.”


📌 Must-read Today.

COVID-19 in the UK – Power, expert complicity, and the manufacture of inevitability.
An attempt to share my meta-view of the last 18 months and why despite being constantly enraged by the UK’s pandemic response, I have never been surprised by it.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.


🧬 Variants News.













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 13 July 2021

CASES
📈 36,660 daily
↗️ +27.4% vs last week
📈 236,076 weekly
↗️ +26.6% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 564 daily
↗️ +36.6% vs last week
📈 3,236 weekly
↗️ +53.7% vs last week

IN-PATIENTS – unchanged
📈 2,731 daily – highest since 9 April 2021
↗️ +42.5% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS – unchanged
📈 417 daily – highest since 8 April 2021
↗️ +39.0% vs last week

DEATHS
📈 50 daily
↗️ +35.1% vs last week
📈 213 weekly
↗️ +50.0% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %

TOTALS
🔴 5,191,459 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,481 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 13 July 2021)
⚫️ 152,856 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 2 July 2021.


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 13 July 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 12 July 2021)

• 💉45,978,017 first doses
📈 86.93% of UK adults (18 & above)
📈 68.54% of the total UK population

• 💉34,997,491 fully vaccinated
📈 66.17% of UK adults (18 & above)
📈 52.17% of the total UK population


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 12 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 12 July 2021, 52.17% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 9 July 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.5
  • Latest growth rate range for England +3% to +7% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.5 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 15 other people. A growth rate of between 3% and 7% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 3% and 7% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 620,040 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 14 February 2021
  • 564 deaths in total in the last 28 days highest 28-day number of deaths since 6 May 2021

Days since:

  • 530 days since the first reported UK case
  • 494 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




📚 Data Sources:







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 13 July 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]