51,870 new coronavirus infections and 49 new deaths due to Covid-19 in 24 hours, together with 732,227 new infections reported in the past 28 days.


First published in July 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

533 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has now been responsible for infecting 5,332,371 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)  and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,642 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,856 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 2 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 49 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 51,870 new infections reported in the last 24 hours (the highest daily number since 15 January 2021)

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 26,151 (the highest 28-day average since 11 February 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 25.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 84.2% in the past 14 days from 262,750 to 484,081 (14-day totals, from 3 July 2021 to 16 July 2021). While the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 34.9% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that: there were 717 new Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 12 July (the highest since 2 March 2021), 3,964 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 15 July (the highest since 30 March 2021), and 551 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 15 July (the highest since 31 March 2021) – all three measures increasingly a serious concern for our National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.


🗺️ UK Government Roadmap.

• Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully. ✅
• Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops. ✅
• Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad. ✅
• S̶t̶e̶p̶ ̶4̶:̶ ̶2̶1̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶🚦̶ ̶F̶i̶n̶a̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶l̶a̶x̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶r̶e̶s̶t̶r̶i̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶s̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶a̶y̶e̶d̶.  ❌
• Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions lifted.

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Health Sec. Sajid Javid. | UK Government

💬 Comment of the Day.

On the day the UK hits 51,870 cases, Health Secretary Sajid Javid said: We have always been clear that we will not hesitate to take rapid action at our borders to stop the spread of Covid-19 and protect the gains made by our successful vaccination programme.

“With restrictions lifting on Monday across the country, we will do everything we can to ensure international travel is conducted as safely as possible, and protect our borders from the threat of variants.”

Such a statement is just unbelievable when we know that one of the most dangerous variants is already within the UK borders: the Delta variant itself. A variant this country has helped to spread around Europe by letting British holidaymakers travel to Portugal, Spain, Malta, etc. A variant this country has helped to spread in the UK too by having tens of thousands of supporters inside Wembley Stadium for the England games – especially the semi-final and the final that was eventually lost to the Italians.


Let’s also not forget that, as Sajid Javid talks about “not hesitating to take rapid action at our borders to stop the spread of Covid-19”, the reason the Delta variant landed in the UK in the first place is that PM Boris Johnson didn’t want to put India (where Delta originated) on the UK red list... because he wanted to strike a great free trade deal with India to prove that his Brexit is a success. (India and the UK have not concluded any post-Brexit free trade deal so far.)

Thousands of scientists in the UK and around the world agree that there is no question that it is the UK experiment of lifting all restrictions on 19 July that is about to endanger the rest of the world.

In Parliament, a week ago, Sajid Javid added: For those people who sadly do find themselves having to go to hospital, we have better treatments than ever before. Last week on my visit to St Thomas’ Hospital, clinicians were telling me just how transformative dexamethasone has been in their effort to save lives. Taken together, the link between cases, hospitalisations and deaths is being severely weakened. That means that we can start to learn to live with covid.”

Nobody wants to live with COVID. Ask anyone who suffers from Long COVID, especially children! Vaccinating everyone is the way to go, instead.

Health Sec. Sajid Javid. | UK Government

The so-called ‘Freedom Day’ is an insult to our intelligence,” Dr Joe Pajak said on Friday. “The link between cases and deaths hasn’t disappeared. A positive correlation remains between the increasing number of COVID cases, which are clearly serious – enough to result in hospitalisation and death.

That’s ‘my science’! He concluded with a reference to Boris Johnson’s claim he was following “data not dates”, back in February.

Finally, Bulgaria has already taken steps to red-list the UK because its coronavirus rate is now too high and keeps on rising.

Aviation analyst Alex Macheras told Sky News that Bulgaria may be the first of many countries to refuse entry to British travellers: “Most countries around the world implement travel bans on other countries based on COVID-19 numbers, rates or variants.

“While Sajid Javid may be comfortable with 100,000+ daily COVID-19 delta cases, other countries will not be so understanding.”

The world is watching...    


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📌 Must-read Today.

NHS summer crisis: Major hospital cancels all planned operations today and tomorrow
Cancer operations among those cancelled at the Queen Elizabeth Hospital in Birmingham
Most COVID deaths in England now are in the vaccinated – Here’s why that shouldn’t alarm you.
The latest UK data shows that nearly two-thirds of people who died of COVID between February 1 and June 21 had been vaccinated.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.


🧬 Variants News.

#DeltaVariant

📈 𝟳𝟳,𝟳𝟱𝟭 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 𝟵𝟴.𝟯𝟰% of all sequenced cases

#AlphaVariant

📉 𝟭,𝟭𝟳𝟬 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 𝟭.𝟰𝟴% of all sequenced cases













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 16 July 2021

CASES
📈 51,870 daily – highest since 15 January 2021
↗️ +45.3% vs last week
📈 416.2 per 100k population daily – highest since 21 January 2021
↗️ +34.9% vs last week
📈 277,995 weekly
↗️ +34.9% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 717 daily – highest since 2 March 2021
↗️ +39.5% vs last week
📈 4,141 weekly
↗️ +43.4% vs last week

IN-PATIENTS
📈 3,964 daily – highest since 30 March 2021
↗️ +44.7% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 551 daily – highest since 30 March 2021
↗️ +32.1% vs last week

DEATHS
📉 49 daily
↗️ +69.0% vs last week
📈 277 weekly
↗️ +57.4% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %

TOTALS
🔴 5,332,371 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,642 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 16 July 2021)
⚫️ 152,856 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 2 July 2021.


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 16 July 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 15 July 2021)

• 💉46,159,145 first doses
📈 87.27% of UK adults (18 & above)
📈 68.81% of the total UK population

• 💉35,543,321 fully vaccinated
📈 67.20% of UK adults (18 & above)
📈 52.99% of the total UK population


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 15 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 14 July 2021, 52.99% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 16 July 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +4% to +7% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 4% and 7% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 4% and 7% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 732,227 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 10 February 2021
  • 686 deaths in total in the last 28 days highest 28-day number of deaths since 2 May 2021

Days since:

  • 533 days since the first reported UK case
  • 497 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




📚 Data Sources:







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19, at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 16 July 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]