54,674 new coronavirus infections and 41 new deaths due to Covid-19 in 24 hours, together with 776,580 new infections reported in the past 28 days.


First published in July 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

534 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, it has now been responsible for infecting 5,386,340 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)  and the virus has been responsible for at least 128,683 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 152,856 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 2 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 41 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with a further 54,674 new infections reported in the last 24 hours (the highest daily number since 15 January 2021)

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 27,735 (the highest 28-day average since 11 February 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 25.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 85.0% in the past 14 days from 277,714 to 513,830 (14-day totals, from 4 July 2021 to 17 July 2021). While the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 40.6% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that: there were 740 new Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 13 July (the highest since 2 March 2021), 3,964 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 15 July (the highest since 30 March 2021), and 551 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 15 July (the highest since 31 March 2021) – all three measures increasingly a serious concern for our National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.


🗺️ UK Government Roadmap.

• Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully. ✅
• Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops. ✅
• Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad. ✅
• S̶t̶e̶p̶ ̶4̶:̶ ̶2̶1̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶🚦̶ ̶F̶i̶n̶a̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶l̶a̶x̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶r̶e̶s̶t̶r̶i̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶s̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶a̶y̶e̶d̶.  ❌
• Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions lifted.

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🐦 Tweets of the Day.


📌 Must-read Today.

Quarantine to remain for vaccinated UK travellers returning from France
Late change to Monday’s new Covid rules in England as strict conditions introduced on travel to Bulgaria
Analysis: What if the government got it wrong on masks again?
There are more and more mixed messages on masks, even for those vaccinated against Covid-19.
Athletes ‘probably worried’ after Covid case
The chief of the Tokyo Olympics accepts athletes are “probably very worried”, after a Games-related organiser became the first person to test positive for Covid-19 in the athletes’ village.
Huge study supporting ivermectin as Covid treatment withdrawn over ethical concerns
The preprint endorsing ivermectin as a coronavirus therapy has been widely cited, but independent researchers find glaring discrepancies in the data
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.


🧬 Variants News.

#DeltaVariant

📈 𝟳𝟴,𝟱𝟬𝟲 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 𝟵𝟴.𝟰𝟱% of all sequenced cases

#AlphaVariant

📉 𝟭,𝟭𝟬𝟰 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 𝟭.𝟯𝟴% of all sequenced cases













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 17 July 2021

CASES
📈 𝟱𝟰,𝟲𝟳𝟰 daily – highest since 15 January 2021
↗️ +68.9% vs last week
📈 𝟰𝟰𝟵.𝟲 per 100k population daily – highest since 19 January 2021
↗️ +34.9% vs last week
📈 𝟯𝟬𝟬,𝟯𝟬𝟮 weekly
↗️ +40.6% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 𝟳𝟰𝟬 daily – highest since 2 March 2021
↗️ +30.1% vs last week
📈 𝟰,𝟯𝟭𝟯 weekly
↗️ +39.4% vs last week

IN-PATIENTS – Unchanged
📈 𝟯,𝟵𝟲𝟰 daily – highest since 30 March 2021
↗️ +44.7% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS – Unchanged
📈 𝟱𝟱𝟭 daily – highest since 30 March 2021
↗️ +32.1% vs last week

DEATHS
📉 𝟰𝟭 daily
↗️ +20.6% vs last week
📈 𝟮𝟴𝟰 weekly
↗️ +47.9% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %

TOTALS
🔴 5,386,340 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,683 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 17 July 2021)
⚫️ 𝟭𝟱𝟮,𝟴𝟱𝟲 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 2 July 2021.


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 17 July 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 16 July 2021)

• 💉46,227,101 first doses
📈 87.40% of UK adults (18 & above)
📈 68.91% of the total UK population

• 💉𝟯𝟱,𝟳𝟯𝟮,𝟮𝟵𝟳 fully vaccinated
📈 67.56% of UK adults (18 & above)
📈 𝟱𝟯.𝟮𝟳% of the total UK population


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 16 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 16 July 2021, 53.27% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 16 July 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +4% to +7% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 4% and 7% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 4% and 7% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 776,580 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 9 February 2021
  • 713 deaths in the last 28 days - the highest 28-day number of deaths since 29 April 2021

Days since:

  • 534 days since the first reported UK case
  • 498 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




📚 Data Sources:







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 17 July 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]