500 days since the first COVID death was reported in the UK, there were 39,950 new coronavirus infections and 19 new deaths due to COVID-19 in 24 hours. There were also 844,774 new infections reported in the past 28 days.


First published in July 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

536 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, and 500 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 5,473,477 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 128,727 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 152,856 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 2 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 19 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with further 39,950 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 30,171 (the highest 28-day average since 7 February 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 27.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 76.6% in the past 14 days from 311,653 to 550,359 (14-day totals, from 6-19 July 2021). While the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 41.2% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that: there were 742 new Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 13 July (the highest since 2 March 2021), 4,094 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 16 July (the highest since 29 March 2021), and 573 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 16 July (the highest since 29 March 2021) – all three measures increasingly a serious concern for our National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.


🗺️ UK Government Roadmap.

Step 1: 8 March 🚦 Schools and colleges open fully ✅
Step 2: 12 April 🚦 Non-essential shops ✅
Step 3: 17 May 🚦 Social contact, outdoors, travel abroad ✅
S̶t̶e̶p̶ ̶4̶:̶ ̶2̶1̶ ̶J̶u̶n̶e̶ ̶🚦̶ ̶F̶i̶n̶a̶l̶ ̶r̶e̶l̶a̶x̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶r̶e̶s̶t̶r̶i̶c̶t̶i̶o̶n̶s̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶a̶y̶e̶d̶  ❌
Step 4: 19 July 🚦 “Terminus Date”: Final restrictions lifted ✅

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Self-isolating PM Boris Johnson. | Number 10

💬 Comment of the Day.

As England unlocks, Boris Johnson’s mad experiment begins.

Boris Johnson said on Monday that it is right to lift COVID restrictions in England, while confirming at the same time that the pandemic is far from over.

“Cases will rise as we unlock, so as we confirm our plans today, our message will be clear.

“Caution is absolutely vital, and we must all take responsibility so we don’t undo our progress, ensuring we continue to protect our NHS,” the prime minister said in his COVID briefing.

What is the solution, then? How can the PM have the cake and still eat it? Surely not by calling on people’s personal responsibility while removing all restrictions and therefore legitimising super-spreading events to drive mass infection...


“If not now, when?,” Boris Johnson and his ministers like to repeat when asked about the lifting of the COVID restrictions, openly showing that this government is following dates, not the data. The blame will solely fall on this government if their experiment, or rather gamble, fails miserably and the Delta variant and other new variants turn the summer into a catastrophe with COVID infections and deaths skyrocketing in the UK.

An exponential rise in the UK’s infections, driven by the spread of the Delta variant – among the highest in the world, is now about to be magnified by this government’s unprecedented public-health experiment. “This is the perfect Petri dish to create more virulent vaccine-resistant variants and export them to the rest of the world,” Dr Joe Pajak rightly said.

As Dr Deepti Gurdasani, Senior Lecturer in Epidemiology, Statistical Genetics and Machine Learning at Queen Mary University of London, said in a tweet, a few days ago, “Let’s be under no illusions: we are in a country where our government is taking steps to maximally expose our young to a virus that causes chronic illness in many. Our government is ending all protections for our children including isolation of contacts of cases in schools and bubbles.”

BBC News

Finally, what is the point of having a COVID briefing if when questions are asked, the prime minister and his scientific advisors either don’t respond to the questions, or only respond to what fits with the government’s narrative – which we can read in the Murdoch and pro-Tory press every day, anyway?

The world is not just watching the UK... it is expecting the worst from this country and fears that the worst of the pandemic is yet to come.    


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🐦 Tweets of the Day.


📌 Must-read Today.

Blowing bubbles is dangerous for children.
The removal of centrally mandated bubbles in UK schools is a calamitous move, and one based on a gross misrepresentation of the facts.
Covid: Boris Johnson resisted autumn lockdown as only over-80s dying - Dominic Cummings
Boris Johnson also questioned whether the NHS would be overwhelmed, his former aide tells the BBC.
Why ‘freedom day’ is the latest example of COVID propaganda.
The “Freedom Day” rhetoric around the end of COVID-19 restrictions can be best understood through the lens of propaganda.
Seven reasons mask-wearing in the west was unnecessarily delayed.
Governments in the west repeatedly failed the public when it came to masks.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.


🧬 Variants News.

#DeltaVariant

📈 𝟴𝟭,𝟰𝟲𝟮 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 𝟵𝟴.𝟱% of all sequenced cases

#AlphaVariant

📉 𝟭,𝟭𝟬𝟱 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 𝟭.𝟯𝟰% of all sequenced cases













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 19 July 2021

CASES
📉 𝟯𝟵,𝟵𝟱𝟬 daily
↗️ +15.9% vs last week
📈 𝟰𝟴𝟮.𝟯 per 100k population daily – highest since 17 January 2021
↗️ +41.2% vs last week
📈 𝟯𝟮𝟮,𝟭𝟳𝟬 weekly
↗️ +41.2% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 𝟳𝟰𝟮 daily – highest since 2 March 2021
↗️ +30.4% vs last week
📈 𝟰,𝟯𝟭𝟳 weekly
↗️ +39.5% vs last week

IN-PATIENTS
📈 𝟰,𝟬𝟵𝟰 daily – highest since 29 March 2021
↗️ +40.6% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 𝟱𝟳𝟯 daily – highest since 29 March 2021
↗️ +31.1% vs last week

DEATHS
📉 𝟭𝟵 daily
↘️ -3.8% vs last week
📈 𝟮𝟵𝟲 weekly
↗️ +48.0% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %

TOTALS
🔴 5,473,477 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,727 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 19 July 2021)
⚫️ 152,856 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 2 July 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 19 July 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 18 July 2021)

• 💉46,314,039 first doses
📈 87.57% of UK adults (18+)
📈 69.04% of total UK population

• 💉36,099,727 fully vaccinated
📈 68.25% of UK adults (18+)
📈 53.81% of total UK population


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 18 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 18 July 2021, 53.81% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 16 July 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +4% to +7% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 4% and 7% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 4% and 7% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 844,744 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 7 February 2021
  • 746 deaths in the last 28 days - the highest 28-day number of deaths since 28 April 2021

Days since:

  • 536 days since the first reported UK case
  • 500 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




📚 Data Sources:







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 19 July 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]