๐Ÿต๐Ÿฒ deaths due to Covid-19 sadly reported in the UK in 24 hours โ€“ highest since 24 March, along with ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฒ,๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿด new coronavirus infections. There were also ๐Ÿด๐Ÿณ๐Ÿต,๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿณ new virus infections reported in the past 28 days.


First published in July 2021.






๐Ÿ“† Todayโ€™s Summary.

537 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, and 501 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 5,519,602 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 128,823 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 153,070 deaths in total, where the deceased personโ€™s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 9 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


๐Ÿ” The Details.

Todayโ€™s data in the UK sadly indicate that 96 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19 (the highest number in 24 hours since 24 March 2021), while transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with further 46,558 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 31,418 (the highest 28-day average since 5 February 2021), and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 29.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 73.2% in the past 14 days from 327,976 to 568,144 (14-day totals, from 7-20 July 2021). While the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 40.7% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that: there were 745 new Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 14 July, 4,567 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 19 July (the highest since 25 March 2021), and 611 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 19 July (the highest since 26 March 2021) โ€“ all three measures increasingly a serious concern for our National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 โ€“ each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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๐Ÿ’ฌ Comment of the Day.

Lifting COVID restrictions isnโ€™t irreversible. Failing health and death are.

Boris Johnsonโ€™s โ€˜irreversibleโ€™ roadmap has lost its mojo. COVID cases are up, hospitalisations are up, patients in hospital are up, patients on ventilation beds are up and more importantly deaths due to coronavirus infections are up. The most brilliant scientists and health experts in this country have been warning them for months that it would happen. But Johnson and friends didnโ€™t want to listen. Dates before data.

Long COVID isnโ€™t just happening in peopleโ€™s minds. It is a condition (in children and in adult populations) that has now been globally studied and recognised. One such study, recently published in The Lancet, reports that:

โ€œPatients with Long COVID report prolonged, multisystem involvement and significant disability. By seven months, many patients have not yet recovered (mainly from systemic and neurological/cognitive symptoms), have not returned to previous levels of work, and continue to experience significant symptom burden.โ€

Boris Johnson at Mondayโ€™s briefing. | Number 10

With a current Public Health England (PHE) estimate of around 962,000 people currently living with Long COVID in the UK, is the government prepared to have hundreds of thousands more people suffering from disability due to COVID, with all the social and economic costs it would involve in the future?

Will the prime minister now have the courage to reconsider the lifting of COVID restrictions that just took place in England before the greatest of missteps becomes itself โ€˜irreversibleโ€™ in economic, social and health costs? ย  ย 


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๐Ÿ“Œ Must-read Today.

โ€˜I feel lucky to be aliveโ€™: long Covid patients reveal their 18 months of misery
One of UKโ€™s first cases says she feels like she aged two decades in a year and a half.
Most COVID deaths in England now are in the vaccinated โ€“ Hereโ€™s why that shouldnโ€™t alarm you.
The latest UK data shows that nearly two-thirds of people who died of COVID between February 1 and June 21 had been vaccinated.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.


๐Ÿงฌ Variants News.

#DeltaVariant

๐Ÿ“‰ ๐Ÿด๐Ÿฒ,๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿฐ sequenced cases in the last 28 days
๏ธโ†˜๏ธ ๐Ÿต๐Ÿด.๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฒ% of all sequenced cases

#AlphaVariant

๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿญ,๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿณ sequenced cases in the last 28 days
โ†—๏ธ ๐Ÿญ.๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿต% of all sequenced cases













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data ๐Ÿฆ  reported on 20 July 2021

โ€ข CASES
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฒ,๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿด daily
โ†—๏ธ +27.0% vs last week
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿต๐Ÿณ.๐Ÿญ per 100k population daily โ€“ highest since 16 January 2021
โ†—๏ธ +40.7% vs last week
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฎ,๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿด weekly
โ†—๏ธ +40.7% vs last week

โ€ข HOSPITALISATIONS
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿณ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฑ daily โ€“ highest since 2 March 2021
โ†—๏ธ +31.4% vs last week
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿฐ,๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ weekly
โ†—๏ธ +38.4% vs last week

โ€ข IN-PATIENTS
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿฐ,๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿณ daily โ€“ highest since 25 March 2021
โ†—๏ธ +33.4% vs last week

โ€ข ON VENTILATION BEDS
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ daily โ€“ highest since 26 March 2021
โ†—๏ธ +26.8% vs last week

โ€ข DEATHS
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿต๐Ÿฒ daily โ€“ highest since 24 March 2021
โ†—๏ธ +92.0% vs last week
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฎ weekly
โ†—๏ธ +60.6% vs last week


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing %

โ€ข TOTALS
๐Ÿ”ด 5,519,602 positive cases so far (recorded) โ€“ Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
โšซ๏ธ 128,823 deaths so far โ€“ Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 20 July 2021)
โšซ๏ธ 153,070 total deaths โ€“ Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes โ€“ Registered up to Friday 9 July 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data โ€“ Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 20 July 2021.


๐Ÿ’‰ Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 19 July 2021)

โ€ข ๐Ÿ’‰46,349,709 first doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 87.63% of UK adults (18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 69.09% of total UK population

โ€ข ๐Ÿ’‰36,243,287 fully vaccinated
๐Ÿ“ˆ 68.53% of UK adults (18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 54.03% of total UK population


Pleased to note that, as from Thursday 22 July 2021, vaccination uptake for the UK, nations and Scottish local authorities will be updated to use the mid-2020 population estimates โ€“ as has been noted in the charts we have produced in PMP Magazine since the ONS publication of these new data on 25 June 2021.


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 19 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the โ€œvaccinationโ€ figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 19 July 2021, 54.03% of the โ€œtotalโ€ UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

๐Ÿ“„ Additional Data

Estimated ยฎ๏ธ number: (report as of 16 July 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +4% to +7% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 4% and 7% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 4% and 7% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend โ€œfocusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.โ€ Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 879,707 new cases in total ๐Ÿฆ  highest 28-day infections since 7 February 2021
  • 815 deaths in the last 28 days - the highest 28-day number of deaths since 26 April 2021

Days since:

  • 537 days since the first reported UK case
  • 501 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




๐Ÿ“š Data Sources:







๐Ÿ“ˆ Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

๐Ÿงฌ Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

๐Ÿฆ  Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

๐Ÿ—ƒ๏ธ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

๐Ÿงฎ Special thanks: @JoePajak




โ€” AUTHORS โ€”

โ–ซ Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
โ–ซ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 20 July 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]