84 deaths due to Covid-19 sadly reported in the UK in 24 hours, along with 39,906 new coronavirus infections. There were also 930,879 new virus infections reported in the past 28 days.


First published in July 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

539 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, and 503 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 5,602,321 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 128,980 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 153,070 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 9 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that 84 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus is of increasing concern, with further 39,906 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 33,246, and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 33.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 61.4% in the past 14 days from 363,824 to 587,055 (14-day totals, from 9 to 22 July 2021). While the official 7-day cumulative equivalent reported today shows an increase of 24.2% in the relevant 7-day period.

Latest health care data indicate that: there were 788 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 18 July (the highest since 2 March 2021), 4,861 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 21 July (the highest since 24 March 2021), and 647 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 21 July (the highest since 24 March 2021) – all three measures increasingly a serious concern for our National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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Adobe Stock/Martin Lee

💬 Comment of the Day.

Weekly COVID-19 cases in England have hit the highest level since January. Yet, data for the last couple of days have shown a slight decrease in the number of infection cases (39,000-46,000 cases daily). At the same time, the usually very accurate King’s College Zoe app has been estimating the number of cases to just over 60,000.

Why this decrease in cases? What is happening? Are people not going to test any longer? Is this because of the ‘pingdemic’ narrative driven by the papers? A narrative that seems designed to either drive people to stop paying attention to the app when they are ‘pinged’ by the NHS COVID-19 app and ask to isolate, or to more simply make them delete it altogether.

The pingdemic story reminds us of Donald Trump who once said: “If we stop testing right now, we’d have very few cases, if any.”

How convenient when you wish to suddenly not ‘see’ cases any longer!

“The reason that so many people are receiving notifications is simple, we have a highly transmissible virus that is being allowed to spread throughout the country with the bare minimum of mitigation,” Dr Stephen Griffin, Virologist at the University of Leeds, rightly said.

Panicked shoppers were recently sharing photos of empty shelves across the country on social media, which Tories blamed on a shortage of workers and delays to deliveries spread across the UK because people were asked to self-isolate by the app. If you can’t blame the government, blame the app, right?


Indeed, speaking in the Commons, former health secretary Jeremy Hunt asked the vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi: “Does he not think it’s time for the government to listen to public opinion and scrap the 10-day isolation requirement immediately for people who have been double jabbed in favour of having to isolate until they have done a negative PCR test? Otherwise, we risk losing social consent for this very, very important weapon against the virus.”

On Thursday night, the government announced a convenient new plan: a pilot daily testing programme to be expanded to up to 500 food and drink supply chain employers. The new measures will begin at 15 supermarket depots from Friday and be followed by 150 more depots next week. However, the pilot will not apply to supermarket employees. The Libertarian Minions will be happy.

“Allowing frontline workers such as lorry drivers not to self-isolate if pinged may alleviate short-term supermarket supply issues but it will do nothing to reduce infection rates,” Matt Draper, national officer for drivers and warehouse staff at the trade union Unite, said.

This week, the government and the right-wing press blamed the increase in workers self-isolating on the ‘pingdemic’ and the NHS app. What will next week’s dead cat be?    


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🐦 Tweets of the Day.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson, PMQ, 7 July 2021. | Hansard/UK Parliament


📌 Must-read Today.

2021: COVID-19 lockdowns: The cure is not worse than the disease - University of Wollongong – UOW
Standing back and letting the virus reproduce freely is an invitation to disaster — Experts.
Here is what experts and health professionals think about the lifting of the COVID restrictions in England by Boris Johnson’s government, and what they fear might be the consequences for the UK and for the entire world.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.


🧬 Variants News.

#DeltaVariant

📉 𝟳𝟴,𝟰𝟲𝟲 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 𝟵𝟴.𝟴𝟵% of all sequenced cases

#AlphaVariant

📉 𝟳𝟴𝟰 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 𝟬.𝟵𝟵% of all sequenced cases













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 22 July 2021

CASES
📉 𝟯𝟵,𝟵𝟬𝟲 daily
↘️️ -17.8% vs last week
📉 𝟰𝟴𝟲.𝟵 per 100k population daily
↗️ +24.2% vs last week
📉 𝟯𝟮𝟱,𝟮𝟮𝟯 weekly
↗️ +24.2% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 𝟳𝟴𝟴 daily highest since 2 March 2021 (834)
↗️ +34.2% vs last week
📈 𝟱,𝟭𝟳𝟱 weekly
↗️ +31.1% vs last week

IN-PATIENTS
📈 𝟰,𝟴𝟲𝟭 daily highest since 24 March 2021 (4,880)
↗️ +27.2% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 𝟲𝟰𝟳 daily highest since 24 March 2021 (682)
↗️ +18.7% vs last week

DEATHS
📈 𝟴𝟰 daily
↗️ +33.3% vs last week
📈 𝟯𝟴𝟳 weekly
↗️ +50.6% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %

TOTALS
🔴 5,602,321 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 128,980 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 22 July 2021)
⚫️ 153,070 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 9 July 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 22 July 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 21 July 2021)

• 💉46,433,845 first doses
📈 87.79% of UK adults (18+)
📈 69.22% of total UK population

• 💉36,587,904 fully vaccinated
📈 69.18% of UK adults (18+)
📈 54.54% of total UK population


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 21 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 20 July 2021, 54.54% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 16 July 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.2 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +4% to +7% per day
  • An R value between 1.2 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 12 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 4% and 7% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 4% and 7% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 930,879 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 5 February 2021
  • 932 deaths in the last 28 days - the highest 28-day number of deaths since 21 April 2021

Days since:

  • 539 days since the first reported UK case
  • 503 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




📚 Data Sources:







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 22 July 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]