First published in July 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

🔬 𝟮𝟵,𝟲𝟮𝟮 positive tests
🏥 𝟵𝟮𝟳 hospitalisations
🌡️ 𝟱,𝟵𝟭𝟲 patients in hospital
🛏️ 𝟴𝟲𝟵 in ICU
🕯️ 𝟲𝟴 deaths

🕯️ 𝟭𝟱𝟯,𝟯𝟰𝟮 total deaths
💉 𝟯𝟳.𝟵𝗺 fully vaccinated
🩺 𝟵𝟲𝟮,𝟬𝟬𝟬 long COVID

547 days since the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was first reported in Britain, and 511 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 5,830,774 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 129,583 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 153,342 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 16 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 68 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with further 29,622 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections at 35,417, and the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 49.


The 14-day cumulative number of infections reported has decreased by 1.2% in the past 14 days from 513,830 to 507,644 (14-day totals, from 17 to 30 July 2021).

Latest health care data indicate that there were 927 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 26 July, 5,916 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 29 July, and 869 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 29 July (the highest since 18 March 2021) – all three measures continue to be a worrying concern for our over-stretched National Health Service.


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

For more stories like this, sign up to our FREE Briefings today.




💬 Comment of the Day.

According to Ken Dilanian, NBC News correspondent covering national security and intelligence, quoting his colleagues’ work, “New data suggests that fully vaccinated individuals are not just contracting COVID, but could be carrying higher levels of virus than previously understood, facilitating spread.”

CNN’s Don Lemon also broke the news on Thursday night that “according to CDC internal documents, the Delta coronavirus variant surging across the U.S. appears to cause more severe illness and spread as easily as chickenpox.”

The unpublished CDC document says that the Delta variant is about as transmissible as chickenpox, with each infected person, on average, infecting 8 or 9 other people. The document advises that the CDC should “acknowledge the war has changed and recommends vaccine mandates and universal mask requirements.

Some will wonder whether this is the right moment for the UK government to open its borders to all vaccinated people from the United States and the EU for the summer, especially now that we know they may still catch COVID, be asymptomatic, and go on to unknowingly infect people in this country – or bring new variants with them?

Read more:

Delta variant about as transmissible as chickenpox – Unpublished CDC document says.
The findings of a public health investigation on a small US town’s COVID-19 cluster could have serious implications in the UK and around the world.

The new travel rules (not only!) are a stark reminder of previous UK government failures that keeps ignoring growing evidence of Covid infections rising in this country, with other key data, and emerging concerns from the CDC about the Delta variant spread by those vaccinated.

Read more comments like this... Sign up to [the brief] today.



🐦 Tweets of the Day.


📌 Must-read Today.

COVID-19 infections rise, Delta variant spreads to 132 countries.
COVID-19 infections rose 8% last week to more than 3.8 million, the World Health Organization reported on Wednesday.
New travel rules are a stark reminder of previous government failures
Even Boris Johnson’s supporters would admit the government’s Covid travel policy has been wracked with inconsistencies.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.


🧬 Variants News.

#DeltaVariant

📈 𝟴𝟯,𝟭𝟭𝟵 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 𝟵𝟵.𝟯𝟵% of all sequenced cases

#AlphaVariant

📈 𝟰𝟭𝟱 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 𝟬.𝟱𝟬% of all sequenced cases


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %













Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 30 July 2021

POSITIVE TESTS
📉 𝟮𝟲,𝟲𝟮𝟮 daily
↘️️ -18.6% vs last week
📉 𝟮𝟵𝟲.𝟯 per 100k population daily
↘️ -36.1% vs last week
📉 𝟭𝟵𝟳,𝟵𝟬𝟮 weekly
↘️ -36.1% vs last week

HOSPITALISATIONS
📉 𝟵𝟮𝟳 daily
↗️ +6.2% vs last week
📈 𝟲,𝟯𝟰𝟭 weekly
↗️ +18.9% vs last week

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL
📉 𝟱,𝟵𝟭𝟲 daily
↗️ +16.8% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 𝟴𝟲𝟵 daily highest since 18 March 2021 (879)
↗️ +24.3% vs last week

DEATHS
📉 𝟲𝟴 daily
↗️ +6.3% vs last week
📈 𝟱𝟬𝟯 weekly
↗️ +25.1% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %

TOTALS
🔴 5,830,774 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 129,583 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 30 July 2021)
⚫️ 153,342 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 16 July 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 30 July 2021.


💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 29 July 2021)

• 💉46,775,525 first doses
📈 88.44% of UK adults (18 years old and above)
📈 69.73% of total UK population

• 💉37,962,407 fully vaccinated
📈 71.78% of UK adults (18 years old and above)
📈 56.59% of total UK population


* Using latest ONS population data published on 25 June 2021

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 29 July 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

As of 29 July 2021, 56.59% of the “total” UK population had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 30 July 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 1.1 to 1.4
  • Latest growth rate range for England +2% to +5% per day
  • An R value between 1.1 and 1.4 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 11 and 14 other people. A growth rate of between 2% and 5% means that the number of new infections is growing by between 2% and 5% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 two to three weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.


Estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19:

In the week ending 24 July 2021, the percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 continued to increase in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland, although there are possible signs that the increase in England may have slowed. The percentage decreased in Scotland.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 991,685 new cases in total 🦠 highest 28-day infections since 4 February 2021
  • 1,358 deaths in the last 28 days - the highest 28-day number of deaths since 13 April 2021

Days since:

  • 547 days since the first reported UK case
  • 511 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.




📚 Data Sources:







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


GET THEM INVOLVED:



[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 30 July 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]