93 more lives were lost due to Covid-19 in the last 24 hours, while 29,520 new coronavirus infections were also reported. There have also been 201,006 new virus infections reported in the past 7 days. Worryingly, 880 new hospital admissions* due to Covid-19 in 24 hours, 130 more admissions than yesterday.

First published in August 2021.

📆 Today’s Summary.

🦠 29,520 cases️
🏥 880 hospitalisations
🏥️ 5,875 patients in hospital
🛏️ 882 in ICU beds
🕯️ 93 deaths

📈 299.6 cases per 100k population
🕯️ 154,202 total deaths
🩺 945,000 long COVID

💉 40.4m fully vaccinated
🇬🇧 60.19% of UK population with 2 doses
🔜 Soon vaccination for 16-17-year-olds
⛔️ Still no plan to vaccinate children 12-15-year-olds

↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing

562 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain, and 526 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 6,241,011 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 130,894 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 154,202 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 30 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 93 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with further 29,520 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections has fallen today to 31,006 while the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen again slightly to 78.

If this was to be the “new normal” for Covid-19 deaths, there would be around 365 x 78 deaths annually, or 28,470 deaths.

What is normal about that?

The 28-day cumulative number of infections reported has increased by 6.5% in the past 28 days from 815,457 to 868,180 (28-day totals from 18 July 2021 to 14 August 2021).

Latest health care data indicate that there were 880 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 9 August 2021, while 5,875 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 12 August 2021, and 882 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 12 August 2021 – all three measures a continuing concern for our over-stretched National Health Service.

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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💬 Comment of the Day.

One real concern is the significant increase in hospital admissions reported in today’s data: 880 admissions*, 130 more admissions than yesterday. The highest one day increase in Covid-19 related admissions since 12 July 2021, and the highest increase on a Friday, since Friday 26 January 2021.

The NHS impact of a high number of infections and a high number of hospital admissions:
📈 Bed shortages
📈 A&E attendances
📈 Operations cancelled
📈 Every day another challenge

What about vaccination and ventilation for children? As Parents United UK rightly explained today in PMP Magazine, the government’s ‘dither and delay’ IS failing our children, and will keep on failing our children.

This gross misjudgement needs to be reversed... and reversed urgently.

See the leaflet recently published by PHE:

“The NHS is offering COVID-19 vaccine to some children and young people. This includes those aged 12-17 years at increased risk from infection who will need 2 doses of the vaccine 8 weeks apart. All young people aged 16 and 17 years will be offered a first dose of vaccine. The timing of a second dose for these 16-17 year olds will be confirmed later.”

Yet, back in June, the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) announced it had approved the use of the Pfizer vaccine in children aged 12-15. The UK regulator then said it had carried out “a rigorous review” of the vaccine in adolescents and found the vaccine safe and effective in this age group and that the benefits outweighed the risks.

Dr June Raine. | Number 10

Dr June Raine, chief executive of the MHRA also said the safety of the vaccine in 12-15-year-olds would be carefully monitored: “No extension to an authorisation would be approved unless the expected standards of safety, quality and effectiveness have been met.”

Alongside the MHRA, the Commission on Human Medicines, a UK independent advisory group that also analysed the data concluded that the vaccines’ benefits “outweigh any risk.”

How many unnecessary infections and deaths will this country tolerate before mitigations are put in place and children get vaccinated? How much pain?

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🐦 Tweets of the Day.

📌 Must-read Today.

Vaccination and ventilation for children – Government’s dither and delay is failing children.
The UK government’s dither and delay is failing to protect our nation from the unfettered transmission of Covid-19 among a mostly unvaccinated school-age population, and the threat which resultant variants may pose to the vaccination strategy, worldwide.
New Covid variants ‘will set us back a year’, experts warn UK government
Vaccine-beating variant is ‘realistic possibility’, say scientists, amid calls for contingency plans to be revealed
SARS-CoV-2 mutations: Why the virus might still have some tricks to pull.
SARS-Cov-2 has experienced roughly the same amount of evolutionary change during the pandemic as humans have since Homo habilis first walked the Earth.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.

🧬 Variants News.

Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.

📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 14 August 2021

📉 29,520 daily
↗️ +3.2% vs last week
📈 201,006 weekly
↗️ +6.9% vs last week
📈 299.6 per 100k population daily
↗️ +6.9% vs last week

King’s College Covid Symptom Study
📉 43,728 daily

📈 880 daily – Highest since 27 July (914)
↗️ +16.6% vs last week
📈 5,470 weekly
↗️ +2.0% vs last week

📉 5,875 daily
↗️ +2.8% vs last week

📈 882 daily
↗️ +1.3% vs last week

📉 93 daily
↘️ -9.7% vs last week
📉 613 weekly
↘️ -2.2% vs last week

📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %

🔴 6,211,868 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 130,801 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 13 August 2021)
⚫️ 154,202 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 30 July 2021

7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 14 August 2021.

💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 13 August 2021)

• 💉 47,254,399 first doses
📈 89.34% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 70.44% of total UK population

• 💉 40,372,981 fully vaccinated
📈 76.33% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 74.28% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 60.19% of total UK population

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 13 August 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

In summary, as of 13 August 2021:

  • 60.19% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 74.28% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 76.33% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 13 August 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.8 to 1.0
  • Latest growth rate range for England -4% to 0% per day
  • An R value between 0.8 and 1.0 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 10 other people. A growth rate of between -4% and 0% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 4% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 two to three weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.

Estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest ONS Covid-19 Infection Survey, the percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus remained the same in England (1 in 75) and in Northern Ireland (1 in 55), while in Wales it increased (1 in 220 – was 1 in 230), but decreased in Scotland (1 in 190 – was 1 in 120).

New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 868,180 new cases in total in the last 28 days
  • 2,175 deaths in the last 28 days – the highest 28-day number of deaths since 5 April 2021

Days since:

  • 562 days since the first reported UK case
  • 526 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.

*Clarification – 15 August 2021:
To be clear, the data showing 880 patients admitted to UK hospitals on Saturday were for admissions reported on 10 August 2021 by PHE because of a “data lag”. Because of the “data lag”, we may need to wait until Tuesday for a clearer understanding of the situation regarding hospital admissions.

📚 Data Sources:

📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak


Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 14 August 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]