61 more lives were lost due to Covid-19 in the last 24 hours, while 26,750 new coronavirus infections were also reported. There have also been 200,327 new virus infections reported in the past 7 days.


First published in August 2021.






📆 Today’s Summary.

🦠 26,750 cases️
🏥 880 hospitalisations
🏥️ 5,875 patients in hospital
🛏️ 882 in ICU beds
🕯️ 61 deaths

📈 298.6 cases per 100k population
🕯️ 154,202 total deaths
🩺 945,000 long COVID

💉 40.6m fully vaccinated
🇬🇧 60.49% of UK population with 2 doses
🔜 Soon vaccination for 16-17-year-olds
⛔️ Still no plan to vaccinate children 12-15-year-olds

LABELS:
↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing


563 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain, and 527 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 6,267,437 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 130,953 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 154,202 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 30 July 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).









🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 61 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with further 26,750 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections has fallen today to 30,242 while the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen again slightly to 79.

If this was to be the “new normal” for Covid-19 deaths, there would be around 365 x 79 deaths annually, or 28,835 deaths.

What is normal about that?


Latest health care data indicate that there were 880 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 9 August 2021, while 5,875 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 12 August 2021, and 882 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 12 August 2021 – all three measures a continuing concern for our over-stretched National Health Service.

The NHS impact of a high number of infections and a high number of hospital admissions:
📈 Bed shortages
📈 A&E attendances
📈 Operations cancelled
📈 Every day another challenge


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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📌 Must-read Today.

‘Lost samples and late results’: the Tory donor, his son and their travel-test firms
Concerns grow that for-profit Covid testing regime for travellers is facing collapse
Vaccination and ventilation for children – Government’s dither and delay is failing children.
The UK government’s dither and delay is failing to protect our nation from the unfettered transmission of Covid-19 among a mostly unvaccinated school-age population, and the threat which resultant variants may pose to the vaccination strategy, worldwide.
New Covid variants ‘will set us back a year’, experts warn UK government
Vaccine-beating variant is ‘realistic possibility’, say scientists, amid calls for contingency plans to be revealed
SARS-CoV-2 mutations: Why the virus might still have some tricks to pull.
SARS-Cov-2 has experienced roughly the same amount of evolutionary change during the pandemic as humans have since Homo habilis first walked the Earth.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.





🧬 Variants News.























Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.




📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 15 August 2021

CASES
📉 26,750 daily
↘️ -2.5% vs last week
📉 200,327 weekly
↗️ +4.9% vs last week
📈 298.6 per 100k population daily
↗️ +6.5% vs last week

King’s College Covid Symptom Study
CASE ESTIMATE
📉 42,286 daily

HOSPITALISATIONS – Unchanged
📈 880 daily – Highest since 27 July (914)
↗️ +16.6% vs last week
📈 5,470 weekly
↗️ +2.0% vs last week

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL – Unchanged
📉 5,875 daily
↗️ +2.8% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS – Unchanged
📈 882 daily
↗️ +1.3% vs last week

DEATHS
📉 61 daily
↗️ +56.4% vs last week
📈 635 weekly
↗️ +5.7% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing %



TOTALS
🔴 6,267,437 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 130,953 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 15 August 2021)
⚫️ 154,202 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 30 July 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 15 August 2021.





💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 14 August 2021)

• 💉47,302,445 first doses
📈 89.44% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 70.52% of total UK population

• 💉 40,577,198 fully vaccinated
📈 76.72% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 74.65% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 60.49% of total UK population

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 14 August 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

In summary, as of 14 August 2021:

  • 60.49% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 74.65% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 76.72% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).




📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 13 August 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.8 to 1.0
  • Latest growth rate range for England -4% to 0% per day
  • An R value between 0.8 and 1.0 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 10 other people. A growth rate of between -4% and 0% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 4% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 two to three weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.


Estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest ONS Covid-19 Infection Survey, the percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus remained the same in England (1 in 75) and in Northern Ireland (1 in 55), while in Wales it increased (1 in 220 – was 1 in 230), but decreased in Scotland (1 in 190 – was 1 in 120).






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 846,769 new cases in total in the last 28 days
  • 2,211 deaths in the last 28 days – the highest 28-day number of deaths since 5 April 2021

Days since:

  • 563 days since the first reported UK case
  • 527 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.








📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 15 August 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]