170 more lives were lost due to Covid-19 in the last 24 hours – the highest since 12 March, while 26,582 new coronavirus infections were also reported. There have also been 206,946 new virus infections reported in the past 7 days.


First published in August 2021.


Tuesday’s “Today in Covid” was unavailable in the evening due to an unforeseen technical issue that has now been fixed. We apologise for any inconvenience.

— The Editor.






📆 Today’s Summary.

🦠 26,852 cases️
🏥 773 hospitalisations
🏥️ 6,303 patients in hospital
🛏️ 918 in ICU beds
🕯️ 170 deaths

📈 308.5 cases per 100k population
🕯️ 154,811 total deaths
🩺 945,000 long COVID

💉 40.8m fully vaccinated
🇬🇧 60.88% of UK population with 2 doses
🔜 Soon vaccination for 16-17-year-olds
⛔️ Still no plan to vaccinate children 12-15-year-olds

LABELS:
↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing


565 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain, and 529 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 6,322,241 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 131,149 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 154,811 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 6 August 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).









🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 170 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, (the highest number of reported daily deaths since 12 March 2021) while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with further 26,852 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the average number of new coronavirus infections and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 28 days of Covid-19 data: average (28-day) reported daily numbers of coronavirus infections has fallen today to 29,127 while the average (28-day) reported daily number of coronavirus deaths has risen to 82.

If this was to be the “new normal” for Covid-19 deaths, there would be around 365 x 82 deaths annually, or 29,930 deaths.

What is normal about that?


Latest health care data indicate that there were 773 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 13 August 2021, while 6,303 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 16 August 2021 (the highest number reported since 17 March 2021), and 918 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 16 August 2021 (also the highest number reported since 17 March 2021) – all three measures an increasing concern for our over-stretched National Health Service.

The NHS impact of a high number of infections and a high number of hospital admissions:
📈 Bed shortages
📈 A&E attendances
📈 Operations cancelled
📈 Every day another challenge


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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💬 Comment of the Day.

After the country reported its first Covid-19 community case in 6 months, New Zealand returns to lockdown for 3 days.

New Zealand’s PM Jacinda Ardern invoked stirring rhetoric she used early in the pandemic, by urging New Zealand’s population “to go hard and early” in trying to eliminate the latest outbreak.

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🐦 Tweets of the Day.






📌 Must-read Today.

One rule for us, chumocracy for them.
Whilst they intend to deny people their rights to financial security, pensions, health, and welfare services, the Conservatives in government organised a VIP channel for cronies to access government contracts and gain billions on the public purse during the pandemic.
Vaccination and ventilation for children – Government’s dither and delay is failing children.
The UK government’s dither and delay is failing to protect our nation from the unfettered transmission of Covid-19 among a mostly unvaccinated school-age population, and the threat which resultant variants may pose to the vaccination strategy, worldwide.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.





🧬 Variants News.

(Sequencing as of 15 August 2021)

Multiple Delta variants are apparently now spreading all over the UK. That might explain why the level of infection remains stable as some variants may be less effective at infected individuals, especially vaccinated people, than the original Delta variant. Is this the result of the Government’s herd immunity strategy (opening everything, no restrictions, no vaccination for the 12-15-year-olds...) that many scientists and health experts had warned could lead to the UK becoming a variant factory? 8 of the 10 new Delta variants that are circulating in the country appear to have originated in the UK.

#DeltaVariant

📈 39,838 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↔️ 47.81% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY4

📈 36,755 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 44.11% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY6

📈 2,468 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 2.96% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY5

📈 1,850 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 2.22% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY12

📈 846 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 1.02% of all sequenced cases


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ unchanged %






























Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.




📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 17 August 2021

CASES
📉 26,852 daily
↗️ +14.2% vs last week
📈 206,946 weekly
↗️ +5.6% vs last week
📈 308.5 per 100k population daily
↗️ +5.5% vs last week

King’s College Covid Symptom Study
CASE ESTIMATE
📈 42,990 daily

HOSPITALISATIONS
📉 773 daily
↗️ +0.7% vs last week
📈 5,549 weekly
↗️ +3.9% vs last week

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL
📈 6,303 daily – highest since 17 March (6,585)
↗️ +5.4% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📈 918 daily – highest since 17 March (925)
↗️ +6.9% vs last week

DEATHS
📈 170 daily – highest since 12 March (175)
↗️ +16.4% vs last week
📈 648 weekly
↗️ +4.2% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ unchanged %



TOTALS
🔴 6,322,241 positive cases so far (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 131,149 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 17 August 2021)
⚫️ 154,811 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 6 August 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 17 August 2021.





💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 16 August 2021)

• 💉47,369,418 first doses
📈 89.56% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 70.62% of total UK population

• 💉 40,841,971 fully vaccinated
📈 77.22% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 75.14% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 60.88% of total UK population

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 16 August 2021.

It is important to note the full range of population data, given that the focus has been on vaccinating those aged 18 and above, and to bear in mind that there is unlikely to be any scientific evidence that the virus draws a line at age 18 years.

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

  • Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
  • Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
  • Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
  • Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

We need therefore to challenge politicians who present the “vaccination” figures with an almost casual, over-emphasis of the percentages vaccinated. The data are always currently quoted for those in the population aged 18 and above. So where is the vaccination strategy for children and young people in the UK?

In summary, as of 16 August 2021:

  • 60.88% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 75.14% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 77.22% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).




📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 13 August 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.8 to 1.0
  • Latest growth rate range for England -4% to 0% per day
  • An R value between 0.8 and 1.0 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 10 other people. A growth rate of between -4% and 0% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 4% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 two to three weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.


Estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest ONS Covid-19 Infection Survey, the percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus remained the same in England (1 in 75) and in Northern Ireland (1 in 55), while in Wales it increased (1 in 220 – was 1 in 230), but decreased in Scotland (1 in 190 – was 1 in 120).






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 815,551 new cases in total in the last 28 days
  • 2,292 deaths in the last 28 days – the highest 28-day number of deaths since 5 April 2021

Days since:

  • 565 days since the first reported UK case
  • 529 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.








📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid at: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19 at https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 17 August 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]