A further 113 lives sadly were lost due to Covid-19 in the last 24 hours, while 36,572 new coronavirus infections were also reported. There have also been 214,736 new virus infections reported in the past 7 days.


First published in August 2021.







📆 Today’s Summary.

🦠 36,572 cases️ ↗️
📈 320.1 cases/100k ↗️
📈 214,736 cases in 7 days ↗️

🏥 804 hospitalisations ↗️
🏥️ 6,379 patients in hospital ↗️
🛏️ 909 in ICU beds ↘️
🕯️ 113 deaths ↗️

🕯️ 154,811 total deaths
🩺 945,000 long COVID
💉 41.1m fully vaccinated (61.35% of UK population)

LABELS:
↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing | ↔️ Unchanged


567 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain, and 531 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting 6,392,160 people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 131,373 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 154,811 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 6 August 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).









🔍 The Details.

Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 113 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with further 36,572 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

It is worth noting the total number of new coronavirus infections, and deaths due to the virus, reported in the last 7 days of Covid-19 data. The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days has risen today to 214,736 while the total reported number of coronavirus deaths in the last 7 days has risen to 674. This equates on average to 96.3 deaths each of the past 7 days.

If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 35,144 deaths.

What is normal about that?


Latest health care data indicate that there were 804 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 15 August 2021, while 6,379 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 18 August 2021 (the highest number reported since 17 March 2021), and 909 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 18 August 2021 – all three measures an increasing concern for our over-stretched National Health Service.

The NHS impact of a high number of infections and a high number of hospital admissions:
📈 Bed shortages
📈 A&E attendances
📈 Operations cancelled
📈 Every day another challenge


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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⏰ Latest Changes.

  • If you have had contact with someone who has tested positive – ENGLAND

If you are fully vaccinated, or under 18, you no longer need to self-isolate after close contact with someone who has COVID-19. If you have symptoms you should still isolate and take a PCR test. Find out when to self-isolate and what to do on the NHS website.

  • Vaccinations for young peopleENGLAND

16 and 17-year-olds can now get their first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine. They will be contacted and invited by the NHS but cannot book online.

  • International travel UK WIDE

If you have been fully vaccinated in the UK, United States or most of Europe, you do not need to quarantine or take a day 8 test when returning from amber list countries.







💬 Comment of the Day.

With 113 more lives sadly lost due to Covid-19 in the last 24 hours and 36,572 new coronavirus infections reported, the signs are not good. We appear to be experiencing another surge of infections, with the resultant impact on hospitalisations, ventilation, and sadly deaths.

Has the UK government ensured that our schools are ready? In the UK, there has been, for some reason, a failure to recognise the importance of fluid dynamics, airflow rates, the level of aerosol produced by infected individuals, alongside a consideration of basic ‘surface science’.

Absolute misjudgement!

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🐦 Tweets of the Day.






📌 Must-read Today.

Pandemic 2.0 – Where do we go from here? The Delta variant and the young.
With the Delta variant becoming dominant globally, we need to change how we think about the properties and destructive potential of new virus variants. We need good policy decisions to ensure sufficient protection of our unprotected young, for health and for the economy.
Study provides suggestions for keeping classroom air fresh
An MIT study shows how specific classroom configurations may affect air quality and necessitate additional measures — beyond using an HVAC system or opening windows — to reduce the spread of aerosols and potentially Covid-19.
Fast and non-destructive ultrasonic test for face masks
As a consequence of the large demand of face masks due to the COVID19 pandemic, cheap, fast and non-destructive tests that can verify in-line the vari…
One rule for us, chumocracy for them.
Whilst they intend to deny people their rights to financial security, pensions, health, and welfare services, the Conservatives in government organised a VIP channel for cronies to access government contracts and gain billions on the public purse during the pandemic.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.





🧬 Variants News.

(Sequencing as of 19 August 2021)


#DeltaVariant

📈 39,715 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 48.07% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY4

📉 36,123 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 43.72% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY6

📉 2,500 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 3.03% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY5

📉 1,851 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 2.24% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaAY12

📉 949 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 1.15% of all sequenced cases


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %












Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants:
UK COVID-19 variant updates.
The latest COVID-19 variant updates in the United Kingdom.




📈 Full Data Today

UK COVID-19 data 🦠 reported on 19 August 2021

CASES
📈 36,572 daily Highest since 22 July (39,906)
↗️ +10.6% vs last week
📈 214,736 weekly
↗️ +7.8% vs last week
📈 320.1 per 100k population daily Highest since 27 July (342.6)
↗️ +7.8% vs last week

King’s College Covid Symptom Study
CASE ESTIMATE
📈 44,334 daily

HOSPITALISATIONS
📈 804 daily
↗️ +9.1% vs last week
📈 5,698 weekly
↗️ +5.6% vs last week

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL
📈 6,379 daily – Highest since 17 March (6,585)
↗️ +6.9% vs last week

ON VENTILATION BEDS
📉 909 daily
↗️ +4.4% vs last week

DEATHS
📈 113 daily
↗️ +20.2% vs last week
📈 674 weekly
↗️ +9.6% vs last week


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %



TOTALS
🔴 6,392,160 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
⚫️ 131,373 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result (for COVID-19 reported up to 19 August 2021)
⚫️ 154,811 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 6 August 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 19 August 2021.





💉 Vaccination Data

People vaccinated in the UK: (up to and including 18 August 2021)

• 💉47,460,526 first doses
📈 89.73% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 87.32% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 70.75% of total UK population

• 💉41,157,069 fully vaccinated
📈 77.82% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 75.72% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 61.35% of total UK population

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 18 August 2021.

Change announced on the UK Covid-19 dashboard: “On Thursday 19 August, headline vaccination uptake by report date for the UK and nations will be updated to include ages 16 and 17 in the denominator.”

This change, at last, acknowledges the importance of presenting the vaccination data appropriately. The next step would be to quote vaccination percentages relating to the TOTAL UK population.


In summary, as of 18 August 2021:

  • 61.35% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 75.72% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 77.82% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

● Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
● Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
● Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
● Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source ▪ ONS)




📄 Additional Data

Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 13 August 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.8 to 1.0
  • Latest growth rate range for England -4% to 0% per day
  • An R value between 0.8 and 1.0 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 10 other people. A growth rate of between -4% and 0% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 4% every day. These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 two to three weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.


Estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest ONS Covid-19 Infection Survey, the percentage of people testing positive for coronavirus remained the same in England (1 in 75) and in Northern Ireland (1 in 55), while in Wales it increased (1 in 220 – was 1 in 230), but decreased in Scotland (1 in 190 – was 1 in 120).






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 802,017 new cases in total in the last 28 days
  • 2,359 deaths in the last 28 days – the highest 28-day number of deaths since 3 April 2021

Days since:

  • 567 days since the first reported UK case
  • 531 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.








📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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[This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 19 August 2021. | The authors write in a personal capacity.]