A further 156 deaths due to Covid-19 and 29,547 new coronavirus infections reported in 24 hours. In the last 28 days the UK has reported 966,676 new virus infections and 3,252 deaths due to Covid-19 – equivalent to around 116 Covid-19 deaths on each of the past 28 days.


First published in September 2021.








📆 #TodayInCOVID
Summary 11-Sept-2021

🦠 29,547 cases ↘️
259,849 in 7 days ↘️
966,676 in 28 days ↗️
387.4 per 100k ↘️

🏥 1,063 hospitalisations ↔️
6,831 in 7 days ↔️
8,098 patients in hospital ↔️
🛏️ 1,060 in ICU beds ↔️

🕯️ 156 deaths ↗️
983 in 7 days ↗️
3,252 in 28 days ↗️️

💉 43.8m received two doses
65.44% of the UK population received two doses

®️ 0.91.1 in England ↔️

🦠 7,197,662 cases so far
🕯️ 156,888 total deaths

LABELS:
↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing | ↔️ Unchanged








Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 156 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with further 29,547 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.




It is worth noting the total number of new coronavirus infections, and deaths due to the virus reported in the last 7 days of Covid-19 data. The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 259,849 while 983 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 140 deaths each of the past 7 days.

If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 51,256 deaths.

What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death?


Latest health care data indicate that there were 1,063 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 6 September 2021 (an increase of 197 in the number reported yesterday for 5 September 2021, and the highest daily increase in admissions since 1 September); while 8,098 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 8 September 2021 (highest since 10 March 2021), and 1,060 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 8 September 2021 – all three measures an increasing concern for our over-stretched National Health Service.


TOTALS:

590 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain, and 554 days since the first reported death, the virus has now been responsible for infecting over 7 million people (7,197,662 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data) and responsible for at least 134,144 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result).

Official data currently indicate there have been 156,888 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 27 August 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).


Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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  • Third vaccine dose for immunosuppressedENGLAND & WALES

Adults and children aged 12 and over with a severely weakened immune system will now be offered a third COVID-19 vaccine dose. The NHS will contact you directly to arrange an appointment.






Number 10


  • Covid jab for kids within 2 weeks

Mass vaccinations for 12 to 15-year-olds in schools could begin on 22 September, according to the Observer. The Sunday newspaper says that “NHS leaders are understood to have been briefed on the plans after schools were told to be ready to introduce the programme.”

The plans are set to be announced by the government this week. New proposals for the awaited booster programme (the third Covid vaccine dose) are also expected to be set out by the prime minister in a press conference on Tuesday.






Boris Johnson. | Number 10


Today’s data indicate there were 1,063 new admissions to UK hospitals of people with Covid-19, reported as of 6 September 2021. And as of 8 September 2021, 8,098 people were in UK hospitals with Covid-19, with 1,060 needing ventilation beds. The situation, overall, is the worst it has been for about 6 months.

Add to this sadly bleak picture the fact that, six months ago, all key Covid-19 data were trending downwards, whereas today it is all trending upwards.

As the chart would appear to indicate, the next peak has not been reached, and probably won’t be reached for some time yet.

There are concerns hospitals will reduce operations as Covid cases surge, while a ­winter spike will increase record waiting lists. There are already issues in West Yorkshire, Derbyshire, Hull, Stoke and Cornwall, where trusts have cut non-essential operations. Similar picture in Scotland.


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Covid hospitalisations moving in ‘alarming’ direction, NHS officials say
Admissions are once again rising among older age groups, and come at a time of ‘exceptional demand for urgent and emergency care’ within hospitals
Be prepared for winter Covid wave, Boris Johnson to warn
Jabs for teenagers, booster scheme, flu shots and vaccine passports expected to be part of PM’s winter plan for England
Israel was a leader in the COVID vaccination race – so why are cases spiralling there?
A stall in vaccine coverage and increased mixing have combined to drive new outbreaks.
“British exceptionalism” must catch up on the 21st century.
The government had the entire summer to deliver CO2 monitors to all UK schools. They haven’t. What now?
Don’t let them tell you we are back to ‘normal’.
There should be a real concern that some people feel they are no longer at risk and appear to have stopped taking steps to protect themselves and others.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.
Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






🧬 Variants News (Sequencing as of 11 September 2021)


#DeltaAY4

📉 73,838 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↘️ 74.67% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaVariant

📉 15,499
↗️ 15.67%

#DeltaAY5

📉 3,653
↘️ 3.69%


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %





Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






📈 UK COVID-19 data (reported on 11 September 2021)

CASES 🦠
📉 29,547 daily
↘️ -21.4% vs last week
📉 259,849 in 7 days
↗️ +5.9%
📈 966,676 in 28 days
↗️ +6.5%
📉 387.4 per 100k
↗️ +5.9%

King’s College ESTIMATE 🦠
📉 47,680 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS 🏥
⏸️ 1,063 daily – UnchangedHighest since 1 September
↔️ +1.4%
⏸️ 6,831 in 7 days
↔️ +3.6%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL 🏥
⏸️ 8,098 daily – UnchangedHighest since 10 March
↔️ +5.7%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS 🛏️
⏸️ 1,060 daily – Unchanged
↔️️ +2.9%

DEATHS 🕯️
📈 156 daily – Highest Saturday since 6 March
↗️ +30.0%
📈 983 in 7 days
↗️ +25.2%
📈 3,252 in 28 days – Highest since 29 March
↗️ +12.8%


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ⏸️ Unchanged figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %



TOTALS 🧮
🦠 7,197,662 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
🕯️ 134,144 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
🕯️ 156,888 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes– Registered up to Friday 27 August 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 11 September 2021.






💉 Vaccination UK (up to and including 10 September 2021)

💉48,395,359 first doses
📈 91.50% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 89.04% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 72.14% of total UK population

💉43,895,440 second doses
📈 82.99% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 80.76% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 65.44% of total UK population

Estimates suggest that around 12 million children in the UK – aged 15 and below – remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 10 September 2021.


In summary, as of 10 September 2021:

  • 65.44% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 80.76% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 82.99% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses)

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

● Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
● Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
● Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
● Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source ▪ ONS)






Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 10 September 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.9 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -1% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.9 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 9 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -1% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 1% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.


Estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, COVID-19 infections remained level in England in the week ending 3 September. In Scotland, however, infections increased and were the highest the ONS recorded so far (the Infection Survey began to cover Scotland in September 2020). During the same period, in Northern Ireland, the trend in infections was uncertain, while in Wales, infections increased.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 966,676 new cases in total in the last 28 days
  • 3,252 deaths in the last 28 days – Highest since 29 March

Days since:

  • 590 days since the first reported UK case
  • 554 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the evolving situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.







📰 #COVID19 on tomorrow’s Front Pages

The Observer

The Independent

The Mail on Sunday

The Sunday Express

Read more front pages every day in PMP Magazine.








📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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