56 deaths due to Covid-19 and 29,173 new coronavirus infections reported in 24 hours in the UK. In the last 7 days, 252,011 coronavirus infections and 971 deaths – on average 139 deaths each day. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, we would have 50,631 deaths annually.


First published in September 2021.








📆 #TodayInCOVID
Summary 12-Sep-2021


🦠 CASES
29,173 in 24h ↘️
252,011 in 7 days ↘️
969,099 in 28 days ↗️
375.7 per 100k ↘️
▪  7,226,276 so far

🏥 HOSPITAL
1,073 admissions in 24h ↗️
6,916 in 7 days ↗️
8,098 patients ↔️
1,060 in ICU beds ↔️

🕯️ DEATHS
56 in 24h ↘️
971 in 7 days ↘️
3,247 in 28 days ↘️️
156,888 so far

💉 VACCINATION
43.9m received two doses
65.58% of the UK population received two doses

®️ 0.91.1 in England ↔️

LABELS:
↗️ Increasing | ↘️ Decreasing | ↔️ Unchanged








Today’s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 56 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with a further 29,173 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.


  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 252,011.
  • 971 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 139 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 50,631 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 1,073 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 7 September 2021 – the highest number of reported admissions in any 24 hour period since 23 February 2021.
  • 8,098 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 8 September 2021 – the highest since 10 March 2021.
  • 1,060 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 8 September 2021 – all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 591 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain.
  • 555 days since the first reported death.
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 7 million people (7,226,276 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • The virus is responsible for at least 134,200 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 156,888 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 27 August 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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  • Third vaccine dose for immunosuppressedENGLAND & WALES

Adults and children aged 12 and over with a severely weakened immune system will now be offered a third COVID-19 vaccine dose. The NHS will contact you directly to arrange an appointment.








  • Getting the NHS ready for the next pandemics

The British Medical Association (BMA) urges the government to ensure the NHS is better prepared to respond to future pandemics.

We will not accept a return to the old pre-pandemic NHS, which was so patently understaffed and under-resourced, where nine in 10 doctors are afraid of medical errors daily. We will not accept an NHS running at unsafe bed occupancy and without spare capacity”, Dr Chaand Nagpaul, GP and Chair of the Council of the British Medical Association, will say in a speech on Monday.

We will not accept an NHS unprepared for a pandemic, without vital PPE to protect the health and lives of health and care workers.

“We will not accept an NHS in crisis every summer, let alone every winter.”






Boris Johnson. | Number 10


The Oxford Coronavirus Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT) project created a few months ago the Stringency Index, a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics:

  • school closures;
  • workplace closures;
  • cancellation of public events;
  • restrictions on public gatherings;
  • closures of public transport;
  • stay-at-home requirements;
  • public information campaigns;
  • restrictions on internal movements;
  • and international travel controls.

The index is a very interesting tool as it records the strictness of government policies across the world. However, “it doesn’t measure or implies the appropriateness or effectiveness of their response.” A higher score does not necessarily mean that a country’s response is ‘better’ than others lower on the index.

In the index, New Zealand currently ranks 1st with 96% strictness. The UK ranks 15th with 44%.



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What the experts say about making schools safer and the vaccination of children.
Making schools safer isn’t about personal choice, it is about public health and caring for each other.
Clinicians warn even firebreak lockdown won’t stop dangerous overcrowding in NHS
“It might help the Covid infection rate but it’s going to take a lot more than that to tackle the problem of dangerously overcrowded emergency departments.”
Don’t let them tell you we are back to ‘normal’.
There should be a real concern that some people feel they are no longer at risk and appear to have stopped taking steps to protect themselves and others.
Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.
Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






🧬 Variants News (Sequencing as of 12 September 2021)


#DeltaAY4

📈 77,563 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
↗️ 74.81% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaVariant

📈 16,191
↘️ 15.62%

#DeltaAY5

📈 3,799
↘️ 3.66%


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %





Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






📈 UK COVID-19 data (reported on 12 September 2021)

CASES 🦠
📉 29,173 daily
↘️ -21.2% vs last week
📉 252,011 in 7 days
↗️ +1.1%
📈 969,099 in 28 days
↗️ +5.6%
📉 375.7 per 100k
↗️ +1.2%

King’s College ESTIMATE 🦠
📉 46,607 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS 🏥
📈 1,073 daily – Highest since 23 February
↗️ +8.2%
📈 6,916 in 7 days
↗️ +4.8%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL 🏥
⏸️ 8,098 daily – UnchangedHighest since 10 March
↔️ +5.7%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS 🛏️
⏸️ 1,060 daily – Unchanged
↔️️ +2.9%

DEATHS 🕯️
📉 56 daily
↘️ -17.6%
📉 971 in 7 days
↗️ +22.6%
📉 3,247 in 28 days
↗️ +11.5%


LABELS:
📈 Increasing figure | 📉 Decreasing figure | ⏸️ Unchanged figure | ↗️ Increasing % | ↘️ Decreasing % | ↔️ Unchanged %



TOTALS 🧮
🦠 7,226,276 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
🕯️ 134,200 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
🕯️ 156,888 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes– Registered up to Friday 27 August 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data – Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 12 September 2021.






💉 Vaccination UK (up to and including 11 September 2021)

💉48,422,588 first doses
📈 91.55% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 89.09% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 72.18% of total UK population

💉43,991,875 second doses
📈 83.18% of UK adults (aged 18+)
📈 80.94% of UK population (aged 16+)
📈 65.58% of total UK population

Estimates suggest that around 12 million children in the UK – aged 15 and below – remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 11 September 2021.


In summary, as of 11 September 2021:

  • 65.58% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 80.94% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 83.18% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses)

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

● Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
● Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
● Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
● Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source ▪ ONS)






Estimated ®️ number: (report as of 10 September 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.9 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -1% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.9 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 9 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -1% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 1% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

To better understand the state of the epidemic in the UK, the UK government recommend “focusing on indicators for the 4 nations of the UK individually, rather than an average value across the UK.” Estimates of the R value and growth rate for different nations can be found via this link.


Estimates of the percentage of the population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, COVID-19 infections remained level in England in the week ending 3 September. In Scotland, however, infections increased and were the highest the ONS recorded so far (the Infection Survey began to cover Scotland in September 2020). During the same period, in Northern Ireland, the trend in infections was uncertain, while in Wales, infections increased.






New infections and deaths in the last 28 days:

  • 969,099 new cases in total in the last 28 days
  • 3,247 deaths in the last 28 days

Days since:

  • 591 days since the first reported UK case
  • 555 days since the first reported UK death

These data, and trends, are shared to focus some light on the evolving situation. We must never forget the data represent real people suffering, real people dying.







📰 #COVID19 in #TomorrowsPapersToday

Check out more front pages:

The i

The Telegraph

The Independent

The Guardian

Read more front pages every day in PMP Magazine.








📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

🧬 Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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