164 deaths due to Covid-19 and 30,144 new coronavirus infections reported in 24 hours in the UK. 1,003 deaths in 7 days โ€“ on average 143 deaths each day โ€“ equivalent to 52,299 deaths annually. Winter is coming early for the NHS. How can we all help?


First published in September 2021.









๐Ÿ“† #TodayInCOVID
Summary 18-Sep-2021


๐Ÿฆ  CASES
โ–ช 30,144 in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 206,929 in 7 days โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 951,717 in 28 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 308.5 per 100k โ†—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ HOSPITAL
โ–ช 932 admissions in 24h โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 6,627 in 7 days โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 8,068 patients โ†”๏ธ
โ–ช 1,020 in ICU beds โ†”๏ธ

๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ DEATHS
โ–ช 164 in 24h โ†˜๏ธ
โ–ช 1,003 in 7 days โ†—๏ธ
โ–ช 3,556 in 28 days โ†—๏ธ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’‰ VACCINATION
โ–ช 44.3m received two doses
โ–ช 66.12% of the UK population received two doses

ยฎ๏ธ 0.9 โ€“ 1.1 in England โ†”๏ธ

LABELS:
โ†—๏ธ Increasing | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged








Todayโ€™s data in the UK sadly indicate that a further 164 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours due to Covid-19, while transmission of the virus continues to be of concern, with a further 30,144 new infections reported in the last 24 hours.

  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported in the last 7 days was 206,332, while in the last 28 days 951,717 infections have been reported.
  • 1,003 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days. This equates on average to around 143 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the โ€œnew normalโ€ for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 52,299 deaths. What is normal about that? What is acceptable about this potential level of death? The vaccination programme has had a very positive impact, but what will bring down the level of infections given where we now are?
  • Latest health care data indicate that there were 932 Covid-19 hospital admissions reported on 14 September 2021.
  • 8,068 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds as of 16 September 2021.
  • 1,020 patients are requiring intensive care support as of 16 September 2021 โ€“ all three measures are an increasing concern for our over-stretched NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 597 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain.
  • 559 days since the first reported death.
  • Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 7.3 million people (7,400,739 reported, to be precise) in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data)
  • The virus is responsible for at least 135,147 deaths (within 28 days of first positive test result). Official data currently indicate there have been 157,669 deaths in total, where the deceased personโ€™s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 3 September 2021, according to Public Health England (PHE).

Note: The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 โ€“ each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

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  • New rules for travelling or returning to England โ€“ ENGLAND

The current traffic light system will be replaced by a single red list of countries and territories and simplified travel measures for arrivals from the rest of the world from Monday 4 October at 4am.

Testing requirements will be reduced for eligible fully vaccinated travellers, who will no longer need to take a PDT when travelling to England from Monday 4 October 4am. From the end of October, eligible fully vaccinated passengers and those with an approved vaccine from a select group of non-red countries will be able to replace their day 2 test with a cheaper lateral flow test, reducing the cost of tests on arrival into England.

Anyone testing positive will need to isolate and take a confirmatory PCR test, at no additional cost to the traveller. Testing for unvaccinated passengers from non-red countries will include pre-departure tests, day 2 and day 8 PCR tests. Test to release remains an option to reduce the self-isolation period.

From 4 October, England will welcome fully vaccinated travellers from a host of new countries โ€“ who will be treated like returning fully vaccinated UK travellers โ€“ including 17 countries and territories such as Japan and Singapore.

Check out the new international travel system from 4 Oct.

  • Autumn and winter plan 2021 โ€“ ENGLAND

The government has set out its COVID-19 autumn and winter plan.

  • First dose vaccinations for young people โ€“ UK WIDE

Young people aged 12 to 15 will soon be offered a first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.

  • Booster vaccine dose for people most at risk from COVID-19 โ€“ UK WIDE

People aged 50 years and over, care home residents, frontline health and social care workers, and those aged 16 to 49 years with specific underlying health conditions will be offered a booster vaccine dose.






Cabinet meeting. | Number 10


  • Vaccination slow-down

The COVID-19 dashboard data for vaccinations indicates an ongoing slow-down in the number of daily vaccinations in the UK. This must surely be addressed if those who need a 6-month booster are to receive their third dose as soon as possible.

  • Government has given up

The UK Government is encouraging people to behave as though the Covid pandemic is over as half-term holiday bookings have already jumped 200% after the recent travel rules changes in England.

However, 3,496 deaths and nearly 1 million reported infections in just 28 days say something very different. The risks remain significant. Foreign holidays present greater risks, and vaccinated or not, the virus can travel too.


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UK teachers targeted by Covid anti-vaxxers as schools prepare to vaccinate pupils
One headteacher threatened with legal action by own governor over student jabs
Half-term holiday bookings jump 200% after England travel rules change
Thomas Cook says it expects a busy weekend for bookings as people take advantage of simplified travel rules
Long Covid โ€“ The illness narratives
Callard and Perego depict long Covid as the first illness to be defined by patients who came together on social media. Responding to their call to addโ€ฆ
โ€˜The immensity of our lossโ€™: 650,000 white flags show American lives lost to Covid
In America: Remember, an outdoor art installation, will stand for 17 days near the Washington monument in the nationโ€™s capitol

Petition: Offer the Covid-19 vaccine to under 18s
Now that all adults are being offered the vaccine, most youth have so far remained unvaccinated, and unsurprisingly, the delta variant seems to disproportionately affect youth (likely as they are unvaccinated), significantly more than adults. The UK Government must take action to address this.
Petition: Funding for ventilation in all school/college/uni classrooms
As a parent, it has become of increasing concern that the Government has not yet committed to funding increased ventilation in classrooms, in the form of approved HEPA air filter systems/air purifiers.This petition is to ask the Government to immediately fund these in schools/colleges/unis.






๐Ÿงฌ Variants News (Sequencing as of 18 September 2021)

#DeltaAY4

๐Ÿ“‰ 85,381 sequenced cases in the last 28 days
โ†—๏ธ 75.82% of all sequenced cases

#DeltaVariant

๐Ÿ“‰ 16,950
โ†˜๏ธ 15.05%

#DeltaAY5

๐Ÿ“‰ 3,726
โ†˜๏ธ 3.31%


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %





Find out more about the latest data on COVID-19 variants.






๐Ÿ“ˆ UK COVID-19 data (reported on 18 September 2021)

CASES ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“‰ 30,144 in 24h
โ†—๏ธ +2.0% vs last week
๐Ÿ“ˆ 206,929 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -20.4%
๐Ÿ“‰ 951,717 in 28 days
โ†˜๏ธ -1.5%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 308.5 per 100k
โ†˜๏ธ -23.0%

Kingโ€™s College ESTIMATE ๐Ÿฆ 
๐Ÿ“ˆ 46,154 daily cases

HOSPITALISATIONS ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“ˆ 932 in 24h
โ†˜๏ธ -14.8%
๐Ÿ“‰ 6,627 in 7 days
โ†˜๏ธ -4.7%

PATIENTS IN HOSPITAL ๐Ÿฅ
๐Ÿ“‰ 8,068 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -0.7%

PATIENTS IN ICU BEDS ๐Ÿ›๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 1,020 in 24h โ€“ Unchanged
โ†˜๏ธ -2.9%

DEATHS ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ
๐Ÿ“‰ 164 in 24h
โ†—๏ธ +5.1%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 1,003 in 7 days
โ†—๏ธ +2.0%
๐Ÿ“ˆ 3,556 in 28 days โ€“ Highest since 28 March
โ†—๏ธ +9.3%


LABELS:
๐Ÿ“ˆ Increasing figure | ๐Ÿ“‰ Decreasing figure | โธ๏ธ Unchanged figure | โ†—๏ธ Increasing % | โ†˜๏ธ Decreasing % | โ†”๏ธ Unchanged %



LAST 28 DAYS ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  951,717 new cases
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 3,556 deaths โ€“ Highest 28-day total since 28 March


DAYS SINCE ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

๐Ÿฆ  597 days since the first reported UK case
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 561 days since the first reported UK death


TOTALS ๐Ÿงฎ
๐Ÿฆ  7,400,739 positive cases so far to date (recorded) โ€“ Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 135,147 deaths so far โ€“ Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result
๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ 157,669 total deaths โ€“ Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causesโ€“ Registered up to Friday 3 September 2021


7-Day UK COVID-19 Data โ€“ Graph showing key data as trendlines as of 18 September 2021.






๐Ÿ’‰ Vaccination UK (up to and including 17 September 2021)

๐Ÿ’‰48,548,506 first doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 91.79% of UK adults (aged 18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 89.32% of UK population (aged 16+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 72.37% of total UK population

๐Ÿ’‰44,357,108 second doses
๐Ÿ“ˆ 83.87% of UK adults (aged 18+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 81.61% of UK population (aged 16+)
๐Ÿ“ˆ 66.12% of total UK population

Estimates suggest that around 12 million children in the UK โ€“ aged 15 and below โ€“ remain unvaccinated.

People vaccinated in the UK up to and including 17 September 2021.


In summary, as of 17 September 2021:

  • 66.12% of the total UK population (all ages) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 81.61% of the UK population (aged 16 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses).
  • 83.87% of the UK population (aged 18 and above) had received two doses of a vaccine against the virus (one that for the vaccines currently being used requires 2 doses)

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.

โ— Adult population (aged 18 and above) = 52,890,044 (last year: 52,673,433)
โ— Population aged 16 and above = 54,353,665 (last year: 54,098,971)
โ— Population aged 11 and above = 58,325,411 (last year: 57,975,918)
โ— Population aged 5 and above = 63,298,904 (last year: 62,939,544)

(Source โ–ช ONS)






โ–  Estimated ยฎ๏ธ number: (report as of 17 September 2021)

  • Latest R range for England 0.9 to 1.1
  • Latest growth rate range for England: -1% to +1% per day
  • An R value between 0.9 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 9 and 11 other people. A growth rate of between -1% and +1% means that the number of new infections could be broadly flat, shrinking by up to 1% every day or growing by up to 1% every day. (These estimates represent the transmission of COVID-19 from 2 to 3 weeks ago, due to the time delay between someone being infected, developing symptoms, and needing healthcare.)

โ–  Population testing positive for COVID-19:

According to the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 Infection Survey data, the percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 remained high in England, but the trend is uncertain. In Wales and Scotland, the percentage of people testing positive continued to increase, while in Northern Ireland, the percentage of people testing positive decreased.






โ–  Stringency Index:

The Stringency Index records the strictness of government policies across the world. It is a composite measure of nine Covid response metrics: school closures, workplace closures, cancellation of public events, restrictions on public gatherings, closures of public transport, stay-at-home requirements, public information campaigns, restrictions on internal movements, and international travel controls.











๐Ÿ“ฐ #COVID19 in #TomorrowsPapersToday

Read more front pages every day in PMP Magazine.









๐Ÿ“š Data Sources:








๐Ÿ“ˆ Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/tag/uk-covid-19-chart/

๐Ÿงฌ Full #Variants Sequencing Data: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/uk-covid-19-variant-updates/

๐Ÿฆ  Everything #COVID19: https://vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/covid19/

๐Ÿ—ƒ๏ธ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @PHE_uk | @ONS

๐Ÿงฎ Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




โ€” AUTHORS โ€”

โ–ซ Dr Joe Pajak, PhD physical scientist, research & development, governor NHS FT hospital.
โ–ซ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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